Part of: UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)
This Polymarket-style UFC prediction market covers the flyweight prelim fight between Daniel Barez and Luis Gurule at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. The market resolves to the officially declared winner, while a draw, no contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond May 30, 2026 resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is tracking $1,000 in smart money and 1 signal, including sharp interest from a 92% win-rate UFC bettor.
This market will resolve to "Daniel Barez" if Daniel Barez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luis Gurule at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Luis Gurule" if Luis Gurule is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,000.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
92% sharp buying underdog
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 92% historical win rate and strong positive P&L bought Daniel Barez at 40¢ despite recent market drift against him.
- This bettor has won 24 of 26 resolved bets and is up $34k lifetime.
- They are buying Daniel Barez at 40¢, taking the underdog side after the market moved down 11% this week.
- Their past wins came at much higher average odds, making this a notable confidence bet rather than a longshot punt.
$1,000 on Daniel Barez | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate UFC bettor
Sharp UFC bettor with a 92% historical win rate and strong positive P&L bought Daniel Barez at 40¢ despite market drift against him.
- This bettor has won 24 of 26 resolved trades and is up $34,274 lifetime.
- They are buying Daniel Barez at 40¢, implying a contrarian view after the market moved down 11% this week.
- The $2,000 buy is modest versus liquidity, but the wallet’s proven track record is the main signal.
$2,000 on Daniel Barez | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xa710...23c4 — Luis Gurule, $34,324 (55% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Daniel Barez, $11,351 (74% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Daniel Barez, $7,400 (64% win rate)
- 0x2256...0386 — Daniel Barez, $7,375 (92% win rate)
- 0x0c99...0267 — Daniel Barez, $3,500
- 0xb31e...c120 — Daniel Barez, $3,300 (63% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Daniel Barez, $3,000 (69% win rate)
- 0xa2ef...f31e — Daniel Barez, $1,875
- 0xc263...1e83 — Luis Gurule, $1,592
- 0x8f8c...e275 — Luis Gurule, $1,457 (72% win rate)
