Part of: UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)

This Polymarket prediction market covers the UFC Fight Night welterweight prelim between Ding Meng and Jose Henrique, scheduled for May 30, 2026, with resolution expected by May 31, 2026. The market resolves to the officially declared winner, while a draw, no contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond June 13, 2026 resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is tracking $8,809 in smart money across 4 signals, including sharp interest on both the underdog and favorite.

This market will resolve to "Ding Meng" if Ding Meng is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Henrique at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Jose Henrique" if Jose Henrique is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,319.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial fight bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Ding Meng after a sharp price move, with a long track record of positive P&L across hundreds of resolved markets.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 416 resolved markets and is up about $249k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.25M deployed across 158 events.
  • The buy came after a sharp move against Ding Meng, suggesting a contrarian entry on the favorite.

$1,500 on Ding Meng | Wallet win rate: 63%

97% win-rate sharp

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 97% resolved win rate is buying Jose Henrique at 49¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $382,576 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record across 52 events, with 73 wins in 75 resolved positions.
  • Entry at 49¢ suggests they see Jose Henrique as underpriced in a near-even fight.

$3,984 on Jose Henrique | Wallet win rate: 97%

81% sharp buying favorite

Sharp sports bettor with an 81% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Ding Meng despite only modest market movement.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $63,094 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 128 events with the same 81% win record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 52¢ implies they see Ding Meng as underpriced in a liquid UFC market.

$1,800 on Ding Meng | Wallet win rate: 81%

90% winner buying underdog dip

Surface because a proven profitable UFC bettor with a 90% record is buying Ding Meng at near-even odds despite only moderate bet size.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $19.3K lifetime.
  • They bought Ding Meng at 51¢, implying near-even odds with room for a 2x payout.
  • The wallet has been flagged 12 times before, suggesting a repeat sharp bettor rather than a one-off bet.

$1,525 on Ding Meng | Wallet win rate: 90%

80% sharp backs underdog

Surface because a highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor joined one-sided Jose Henrique buying, alongside three-wallet coordinated flow and major price movement.

  • A bettor in this flow wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $888K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $4.5K, backing Jose Henrique despite the market now pricing him at 38%.
  • Jose moved as much as 27 points during the alert window, suggesting this flow briefly pushed the fight odds hard.

$4,510 on Jose Henrique

Top Holders

  1. 0x1136...0c2e Ding Meng, $80,000 (50% win rate)
  2. 0x9495...9a27 Jose Henrique, $78,486 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x8488...588c Ding Meng, $14,982 (38% win rate)
  4. 0x05a7...42e6 Jose Henrique, $14,426 (96% win rate)
  5. 0x99f0...9495 Jose Henrique, $12,819 (49% win rate)
  6. 0xe524...d34f Jose Henrique, $11,776 (49% win rate)
  7. 0x160d...5295 Ding Meng, $10,114 (59% win rate)
  8. 0x8fba...d08a Ding Meng, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x8b88...8f33 Jose Henrique, $8,130 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x9f2f...2ca8 Ding Meng, $6,785 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

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UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ding Meng
0¢
Jose Henrique
100¢

This market will resolve to "Ding Meng" if Ding Meng is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Henrique at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Jose Henrique" if Jose Henrique is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Jose Henrique
102¢
72¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)

8h ago

$1,500 on Ding Meng at 66¢

66¢0¢66¢

UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)

9h ago

$3,984 on Jose Henrique at 49¢

49¢100¢51¢

UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)

9h ago

$1,800 on Ding Meng at 52¢

52¢0¢52¢

UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)

9h ago

$1,525 on Ding Meng at 51¢

51¢0¢51¢

UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)

8h ago

$4,510 on Jose Henrique at 55¢

55¢100¢45¢

Related Theses