Part of: UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,617.

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor leads five-wallet Said cluster

Five wallets concentrated roughly $9,000 on Muhammad Said, including a highly profitable 95% winner, with the position driving a 27-point price increase.

A bettor with a 95% win rate across 81 resolved positions bought Muhammad Said at 37¢.
Five wallets committed about $9,005 in the same direction, pushing the outcome up 27 percentage points.
The cluster’s approximate weighted entry was 48¢, though the market now shows 100% and no executable order book.

$9,005 on Muhammad Said

Serial UFC bettor with proven edge

A highly experienced serial trader with a 73% win rate made an unusually large contrarian buy in a thin-liquidity UFC market, despite the price later falling sharply.

This bettor has won 73% of 732 resolved trades and is up $907,589 lifetime.
The $18,927 buy was more than three times the market’s $5,519 liquidity, signaling strong conviction on Dustin Jacoby.
The position entered at 63¢ while the market is now 32¢, making this a high-risk contrarian trade rather than straightforward momentum copying.

$18,927 on Dustin Jacoby | Wallet win rate: 78%

82% win-rate bettor scaling into Jacoby

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Dustin Jacoby position at 63%.

This bettor has won 82% of 88 resolved trades and is up $370,660.
They have beaten implied odds by 29 percentage points while trading across 80 events.
The wallet is adding to an existing $4,263 Jacoby position at 63%, reinforcing its conviction.

$2,686 on Dustin Jacoby | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 16075728, $154,660 (65% win rate)
0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 16075728, $29,887 (78% win rate)
0x9fad...5a9f — Outcome 16075728, $6,429 (44% win rate)
0x224f...514a — Outcome 16075728, $4,909 (84% win rate)
0x8f8c...e275 — Outcome 16075728, $4,465 (83% win rate)
0x4889...e2d8 — Outcome 16075728, $3,250 (75% win rate)
0x8089...f935 — Outcome 16075728, $2,000
0xb8d7...5ac7 — Outcome 16075728, $2,000 (92% win rate)
0x09ee...90a4 — Outcome 16075728, $1,237 (81% win rate)
0x43e0...8618 — Outcome 16075728, $1,130 (78% win rate)

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UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$30,617 tracked3 signalsSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Dustin Jacoby" if Dustin Jacoby is officially declared the winner of the fight against Muhammad Said at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for July 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Muhammad Said" if Muhammad Said is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Muhammad Said”

102¢

69¢

36¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction