UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Ethyn Ewing" if Ethyn Ewing is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Estevam at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Estevam" if Rafael Estevam is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $311,999.

Notable Trades

82% win-rate UFC bettor

A proven 82% win-rate sports trader bought before a sharp late price surge in this UFC market, adding a credible momentum signal despite the modest ticket size.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $25.2k across 65 settled markets.
They trade this style often: 123 markets across 105 events, suggesting repeatable event-trading skill rather than a one-off bet.
They bought at 85¢ before this side jumped to 94% in a market seeing a 169x volume spike.

$1,517 on Ethyn Ewing | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% winner caught the move

A proven sharp sports-style trader with an 82% win rate bought Ethyn Ewing at 62¢ before a huge market-wide volume and price surge to 96%, making this a strong signal worth surfacing.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $883k across nearly 400 bets.
They bought Ethyn Ewing at 62¢ before the market surged to 96%, a massive move already in their favor.
This wallet has traded 55 events and over $1.0M across related markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$1,511 on Ethyn Ewing | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor caught early move

A profitable bettor with a decent early edge bought Ethyn Ewing at 67¢ before a huge pre-fight volume surge and a 33-point move to 94¢.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and has been profitable overall.
They bought at 67¢ before the market jumped to 94%, locking in a 27-point move.
The market saw a 169x volume spike and a 33-point price surge, confirming strong one-way momentum.

$1,148 on Ethyn Ewing | Wallet win rate: 77%

New whale cluster on Rafael

Three wallets piled nearly $90k into Rafael Estevam during a massive pre-fight volume spike, including a 2-day-old repeat bettor making an $87k bet in a market with only about $10k of liquidity.

Three wallets all bought Rafael Estevam within minutes, totaling about $90k.
One 2-day-old wallet made an $87k bet at 49¢ after already being flagged 8 times.
This hit during a 348x volume spike and in a market with only about $10k of liquidity, showing strong conviction.

$90,187 on Rafael Estevam

Profitable new UFC whale

A 2-day-old wallet with repeated large bets, early profits, and a perfect 3-0 record just bought into a UFC side during an extreme pre-fight volume spike and fast price move.

This 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 7 times, bet about $40k, and is up $1.1k.
It has won all 3 resolved bets so far, with wins coming from low average entry prices around 36¢.
This buy came during a 348x volume spike and a fast 15.5-point move up, suggesting real conviction behind Ethyn Ewing.

$1,021 on Ethyn Ewing | Wallet win rate: 100%

New whale hammering Rafael

A 1-day-old wallet that has already made 20 large flagged bets just placed an $87k buy on Rafael Estevam during a massive pre-fight volume spike, suggesting unusually strong conviction.

A 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 20 large-bet alerts, with $461k total flagged activity.
This trader just put $87k on Rafael Estevam at 49¢, a very large position even in a market with $101k of liquidity.
Market volume is running 476x above normal, which suggests sharp money is showing up before the fight.

$87,096 on Rafael Estevam

99% win-rate sports bettor

A historically elite sports bettor with a 99% win rate and nearly $889k profit is buying into a fight market during a major volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

This bettor wins 236 of 239 resolved trades and is up about $889k lifetime.
They trade heavily across 451 markets and still maintain a 99% hit rate, which is rare at roughly even-money prices.
They bought Ethyn Ewing at 52¢ as volume surged more than 291x above normal, suggesting strong conviction into the event.

$4,244 on Ethyn Ewing | Wallet win rate: 99%

New whale piles into Rafael

A 1-day-old wallet with repeated six-figure betting activity just put $94k on Rafael Estevam into a major pre-fight volume spike, signaling strong fresh conviction despite no track record yet.

A 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 20 large-bet alerts and put $94k on Rafael Estevam here.
The buys came at 48-49¢, so this bettor is treating Rafael as better than a coin flip.
Market activity exploded to 291x normal volume, and this wallet alone was nearly 70% of recent trading.

$94,450 on Rafael Estevam

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 1-day-old wallet has already made 19 large flagged bets totaling roughly $374k and just put $7.4k on Rafael Estevam at 48¢, a repeat high-conviction pattern worth monitoring despite no proven track record yet.

This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 19 large-bet alerts totaling about $374k
The bettor just bought Rafael Estevam at 48¢, implying they think he wins more often than the market does
This is fresh conviction rather than profit-taking, with a $7.4k buy placed into an active fight market

$7,354 on Rafael Estevam

New whale repeat bettor

A 1-day-old wallet has already made 18 large flagged bets totaling $366.6k, and is now buying Rafael Estevam at 47¢, suggesting aggressive early-positioning worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.

This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 18 large-bet alerts totaling $366.6k
Bought Rafael Estevam at 47¢, slightly below the current 48¢ market price
The market is liquid, so this looks more like deliberate sizing than a random thin-market punt

$1,100 on Rafael Estevam