Part of: UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)

This Polymarket prediction market covers the UFC Fight Night welterweight bout between Jake Matthews and Carlston Harris, resolving based on the officially declared winner. Live market odds update as traders price each fighter’s chances, while PolySpotter currently tracks $3,160 in smart money and 1 smart money signal for this market. The market is scheduled to resolve by May 31, 2026, with a 50-50 resolution if the fight ends in a draw, no contest, cancellation, or is postponed beyond June 13, 2026.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,775.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

89% winner backs favorite

Elite 89% win-rate wallet with $1.5M lifetime profit is buying Jake Matthews in a UFC market after repeated cross-market success.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.53M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 69 events with $14.2M in total activity.
  • The market has already moved toward Jake Matthews, and this buy adds at 83¢.

$1,615 on Jake Matthews | Wallet win rate: 89%

94% win-rate UFC sharp

A highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor bought Jake Matthews for $3.16k in a thin UFC market, far exceeding recent daily volume.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $223,565 lifetime.
  • Their $3,160 buy is nearly 3x this market’s entire 24h volume.
  • They have a strong cross-market record across 39 events, suggesting repeat sports-betting edge.

$3,160 on Jake Matthews | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa676...a4c5 Outcome 42494193, $5,000 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x9fad...5a9f Outcome 16304425, $5,000 (37% win rate)
  3. 0xb2eb...83b2 Outcome 16304425, $2,393 (19% win rate)
  4. 0xed10...d2e5 Outcome 42494193, $2,010 (89% win rate)
  5. 0x8adc...7a1b Outcome 16304425, $1,250 (34% win rate)
  6. 0xebff...70e5 Outcome 16304425, $988
  7. 0x8056...b64d Outcome 16304425, $928 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x5c18...2f76 Outcome 16304425, $605
  9. 0x7468...3d24 Outcome 16304425, $594
  10. 0x661d...4dc6 Outcome 16304425, $510 (68% win rate)

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Avalanche Wild game goes high

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UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Jake Matthews" if Jake Matthews is officially declared the winner of the fight against Carlston Harris at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Carlston Harris" if Carlston Harris is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)

8h ago

$1,615 on Jake Matthews at 83¢

UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)

11h ago

$3,160 on Jake Matthews at 79¢

Related Theses