Part of: UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)
This Polymarket market covers the UFC Fight Night prelim flyweight bout between Jesus Aguilar and Rei Tsuruya, resolving to the officially declared winner. PolySpotter is tracking $10,486 in smart money across 2 signals, including recent alerts from sharp UFC and MMA bettors; the market is scheduled to resolve by May 31, 2026, with 50-50 rules for a draw, no contest, cancellation, or major postponement.
This market will resolve to "Jesus Aguilar" if Jesus Aguilar is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rei Tsuruya at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Rei Tsuruya" if Rei Tsuruya is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,472.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Proven MMA sharp buying favorite
Surface despite the low composite score because this is a proven profitable bettor with a 79% record across 118 resolved bets buying Rei Tsuruya.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $24,387 lifetime.
- They bought Rei Tsuruya at 54¢ after a sharp 1-day move toward this side.
- Their historical average entry is 61¢, so this 54¢ buy is within their usual profitable range.
$1,188 on Rei Tsuruya | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp UFC bettor on momentum
Sharp positive-P&L wallet bought Rei Tsuruya amid a massive pre-fight volume spike and strong price momentum.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $24.4K lifetime.
- They put $9.3K on Rei Tsuruya as market volume spiked 209x above normal.
- The price has moved about 24 points in the past day, supporting the same direction.
$9,299 on Rei Tsuruya | Wallet win rate: 79%
75% winner backing flyweight
Surface despite the weak raw signal because the buyer has a 75% record across 12 resolved bets and is meaningfully profitable, now making an $8.6k UFC position.
- This bettor has won 75% of resolved bets and is up $22.6k lifetime.
- They put $8.6k on Rei Tsuruya at 51¢ in a market that has moved sharply over the past day.
- Entry near even odds implies they still see value after a 24-point move.
$8,586 on Rei Tsuruya | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable bettor sizing up
A profitable 75% winner is making a $6.4k Rei Tsuruya buy in a UFC market that was quiet before the bet.
- This bettor has won 75% of resolved bets and is up $22.6k lifetime.
- The $6.4k buy was over 7x the market’s prior 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction.
- Entry at 51¢ is near even-money, so the bettor appears to see Rei Tsuruya as mispriced.
$6,400 on Rei Tsuruya | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xe542...0a37 — Jesus Aguilar, $65,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x7b2f...3531 — Rei Tsuruya, $47,705 (79% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Rei Tsuruya, $37,345 (51% win rate)
- 0x854a...5e9e — Rei Tsuruya, $29,339 (75% win rate)
- 0x4c8f...0942 — Jesus Aguilar, $24,564
- 0x160d...5295 — Jesus Aguilar, $21,942 (59% win rate)
- 0x93a0...74de — Jesus Aguilar, $5,763
- 0x7e3a...3246 — Jesus Aguilar, $1,441 (94% win rate)
- 0x76b3...bc62 — Rei Tsuruya, $1,299
- 0x9916...bcb2 — Rei Tsuruya, $1,000 (57% win rate)
