UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
This Polymarket tracks who will win the UFC Fight Night prelim bout between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar in the women's strawweight division. The market resolves to the fighter officially declared the winner, while a draw, no contest, cancellation, or a postponement beyond May 9, 2026 resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is currently tracking $32,264 in smart money activity across 4 signals on this market.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,783.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Perfect-record linked bettor
A linked-wallet bettor with a perfect 18-for-18 record slammed Talita before a sharp late price surge, suggesting a strong edge worth following.
- This bettor is 18 for 18 on resolved markets and up $207.6k, which is rare enough to watch closely.
- The wallet bought $10.9k of Talita at 61-64¢ just before a 25-point price jump to 100¢.
- Five wallets tied to the same funder have put in $13.3k here, pointing to shared conviction rather than a random single bet.
$10,893 on Talita Alencar | Wallet win rate: 100%
5-wallet sharp cluster
Five linked wallets piled $16.2k into Julia Polastri during a major pre-fight volume spike, and several of the wallets have exceptional win rates that make the coordinated bet worth following.
- Five linked wallets all bought Julia Polastri, putting $16.2k behind the same side in a coordinated bet.
- Two wallets in the cluster have standout records: one wins 94% of bets and another wins 79%, both with strong profits.
- They bought into a 37.6x volume spike, and current 50¢ pricing is well below most of their entries from 66¢ to 77¢.
$16,221 on Julia Polastri
Perfect-record funded cluster
A linked wallet from a 5-wallet cluster with a perfect 18-for-18 record bought Talita during a sharp price move, suggesting coordinated sharp action worth tracking despite the modest size.
- This bettor is 18 for 18 on resolved markets and up $207.6k, which makes their trades worth watching
- Five wallets funded by the same source have put about $4.9k behind this setup, pointing to coordinated conviction
- They bought Talita at 64¢ during a 31.5-point price surge, well above the current 50¢ market
$2,537 on Talita Alencar | Wallet win rate: 100%
79% win-rate UFC bettor
A proven profitable sports bettor with a 79% win rate bought into a UFC market during a major volume surge, making this a worthwhile sharp-bettor signal despite a moderate composite score.
- This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades and is up $161k across 228 bets
- They bought Julia Polastri during a 69.7x volume spike, suggesting sharp money was moving into this fight market
- Their entry was 66¢, well above the current 51¢ price, so this is more useful as a follow-worthy bettor than a chase-at-any-price setup
$2,613 on Julia Polastri | Wallet win rate: 79%
82% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate bought Talita Alencar at 32¢, a meaningful underdog price, and the bet was large relative to recent market activity.
- This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up about $893k lifetime across 419 bets
- They bought Talita Alencar at 32¢, a clear underdog price that implies they see the true odds much higher
- This $1.5k buy was 57% of the market's recent tracked volume, showing real conviction rather than a small flyer
$1,519 on Talita Alencar | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xa38a...821d — Outcome 19290683, $14,695 (55% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Outcome 19290683, $11,590 (94% win rate)
- 0x1507...e175 — Outcome 71419952, $9,929
- 0x20a8...f004 — Outcome 71419952, $8,724 (79% win rate)
- 0xa710...23c4 — Outcome 19290683, $6,659 (53% win rate)
- 0x12af...ff78 — Outcome 71419952, $4,789 (81% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Outcome 71419952, $4,767 (46% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 71419952, $3,830 (33% win rate)
- 0x4889...e2d8 — Outcome 71419952, $2,979 (71% win rate)
- 0xb0a5...0c4b — Outcome 71419952, $2,944
