Part of: UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)
This Polymarket covers the UFC Fight Night bantamweight bout between Kai Asakura and Cameron Smotherman, resolving to the fighter officially declared the winner. The market is scheduled to resolve by May 31, 2026, with $3,600 in smart money tracked and 1 recent smart money signal on PolySpotter. If the fight ends in a draw, no contest, cancellation, or is postponed beyond June 13, 2026, the market resolves 50-50.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,500.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
82% winner backs favorite
Sharp UFC bettor with an 82% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Kai Asakura at 72¢, supported by a long history of cross-market betting.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $91,875 lifetime.
- They have bet across 64 events, showing a long track record rather than a one-off trade.
- A $3,600 buy at 72¢ suggests confidence that Kai Asakura is still underpriced.
$3,600 on Kai Asakura | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable UFC whale
A historically profitable high-volume wallet placed a $36.5k buy on Kai Asakura in a relatively quiet UFC market, dwarfing recent volume.
- This bettor has a long track record and is up $166.8k across $11.6M invested.
- The $36.5k Kai Asakura buy is far larger than recent market activity, showing strong conviction.
- Entry at 73¢ suggests they are backing Asakura despite already being the clear favorite.
$36,500 on Kai Asakura | Wallet win rate: 51%
Profitable UFC serial bettor
Strong UFC bettor with a 74% resolved win rate and $262k profit is taking a fresh underdog position that exceeds this market's 24h volume.
- This bettor has won 74% of 57 resolved trades and is up $262,870 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 43 events with over $1.4M invested.
- The $1,400 underdog buy is larger than the market’s entire 24h volume.
$1,400 on Cameron Smotherman | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x8fba...d08a — Outcome 63955522, $54,862 (51% win rate)
- 0x9c95...ed41 — Outcome 79589039, $13,067 (78% win rate)
- 0x9c1c...7980 — Outcome 79589039, $12,150 (69% win rate)
- 0xad6a...9dbd — Outcome 79589039, $10,000 (38% win rate)
- 0x6203...6280 — Outcome 79589039, $9,036 (38% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Outcome 63955522, $7,727 (62% win rate)
- 0x8f8c...e275 — Outcome 79589039, $5,997 (74% win rate)
- 0x8c2d...6443 — Outcome 79589039, $4,040
- 0x9fad...5a9f — Outcome 79589039, $3,700 (37% win rate)
- 0xaaef...b6ab — Outcome 79589039, $2,085
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