What is the Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos prediction market?

It is a Polymarket market on who will officially win the UFC Women’s Bantamweight fight between Karol Rosa and Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi.

When does the Rosa vs. Santos market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve after the fight result is official, with a listed resolution time of June 21, 2026 at 03:59:59 UTC.

How much smart money is tracked on this UFC market?

PolySpotter is tracking $103,512 in smart money activity on this market, including 2 smart money signals and recent alerts from high-performing sports and UFC traders.

Where can I see live Rosa vs. Santos Polymarket odds?

You can follow the market page on PolySpotter to track live Polymarket odds, sharp-money alerts, and trader activity as fight night approaches.

Part of: UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Q: What happens if Rosa vs. Santos is canceled or ends in a draw?

If the fight is a draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, the market resolves 50-50.

This Polymarket market predicts the winner of Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos in the Women’s Bantamweight prelims at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $103,512 in smart money activity and 2 smart money signals, with recent sharp-bettor alerts focused on Santos and UFC fight markets. The market resolves after the official fight result, or 50-50 if the bout is a draw, no contest, canceled, not scored, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Karol Rosa" if Karol Rosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Luana Santos" if Luana Santos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $118,206.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

87% UFC sharp whale

Elite 87% win-rate bettor with $4.8M lifetime profit placed $86K on Karol Rosa amid a major pre-fight volume spike, making this a strong sharp-wallet signal despite the market moving against the entry.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $4.8M lifetime.
They put $86K on Karol Rosa around 49–50¢, far above the current 36¢ market price.
This is a serial sports trader with $19.9M bet across 202 events, and this market just saw a 378x volume spike.

$86,033 on Karol Rosa | Wallet win rate: 87%

Proven sharp buying Santos

Proven profitable bettor with a 77% long-run win rate made a large Santos buy ahead of a major pre-fight volume spike, and the market has already moved sharply in their direction.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets across 304 markets and is profitable lifetime.
They bought $17.5K of Luana Santos at 51¢ before the price moved to 64¢.
This is a serial cross-market trader with $1.7M deployed across 95 events.

$17,478 on Luana Santos | Wallet win rate: 77%

Elite sharp buying Rosa

Elite profitable wallet with an 87% win rate and $4.8M lifetime profit bought Karol Rosa amid a major pre-fight volume spike.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $4.8M lifetime.
They bought $9.7k of Karol Rosa at 49¢ in a near coin-flip UFC market.
Market volume is running 61x above its usual pace before the fight.

$9,695 on Karol Rosa | Wallet win rate: 87%

94% win-rate fight sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% record and strong cross-market history bought Luana Santos at even odds.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $30,382 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events with the same 94% hit rate.
Entry at 50¢ means they are backing Luana Santos as mispriced in an otherwise even market.

$2,000 on Luana Santos | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable new repeat bettor

New profitable wallet is repeatedly making meaningful bets and bought Luana Santos at 50¢ in a liquid UFC market.

This new wallet is 6-for-6 on resolved bets and up $688 so far.
It has now triggered 4 large-bet alerts, totaling $4,640 in flagged positions.
Entry at 50¢ implies they see Luana Santos as mispriced in a near-even fight.

$1,000 on Luana Santos | Wallet win rate: 100%

Elite 84% sports bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with an 84% win rate and $426,967 lifetime profit bought Karol Rosa at even odds.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $426,967 lifetime.
They have traded across 215 events with strong results, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 50¢ implies they see Karol Rosa as mispriced in an even-money fight.

$1,000 on Karol Rosa | Wallet win rate: 84%

Elite 84% sports bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with an 84% win rate and $426,967 lifetime profit bought Karol Rosa at even odds.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $426,967 lifetime.
They have traded across 215 events with strong results, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 50¢ implies they see Karol Rosa as mispriced in an even-money fight.

$1,000 on Karol Rosa | Wallet win rate: 84%