Part of: UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,954.

Categories: UFC, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

14-wallet funded cluster

A 14-wallet funded cluster is piling into the same UFC underdog despite weak wallet-level results, making this coordinated flow worth watching even though the specific entry has moved against them.

  • 14 wallets funded by the same address have been active together, which points to a coordinated thesis rather than a random single bet
  • This wallet bought Lucas Brennan at 15¢ while the market now sits at 6¢, showing aggressive underdog conviction
  • Market activity is surging with volume running 61x normal, so there is real money moving around this fight

$1,462 on Lucas Brennan | Wallet win rate: 55%

5-wallet UFC buy cluster

A 5-wallet funded cluster poured $38.5k into Francis Marshall within minutes, pushing into a relatively thin UFC market and lifting the price from about 80¢ to 88¢.

  • Five wallets tied to the same funding source bought $38.5k of Francis Marshall in a few minutes.
  • Their entries around 79-80¢ have already moved to 88¢, showing immediate follow-through.
  • This funder has appeared across 14 wallets, and the market saw an unusually large volume surge before the fight.

$38,492 on Francis Marshall

Top Holders

  1. 0x0d96...7c16 Outcome 61007736, $2,354 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x2f78...b642 Outcome 61007736, $1,566
  3. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 61007736, $1,151 (88% win rate)
  4. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 61007736, $1,061 (74% win rate)
  5. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 61007736, $1,014
  6. 0xcaf7...2d12 Outcome 61007736, $970
  7. 0xa75c...3ade Outcome 61007736, $970
  8. 0xda00...5c4d Outcome 61007736, $930
  9. 0xe802...e465 Outcome 61007736, $888 (97% win rate)
  10. 0xe401...7b88 Outcome 61007736, $777 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Lucas Brennan" if Lucas Brennan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)

50d ago

$1,462 on Lucas Brennan at 15¢

UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)

50d ago

$38,492 on Francis Marshall at 80¢

Related Theses