Part of: Parma: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Dayana Yastremska
Parma: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Dayana Yastremska
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Parma tennis match between Hanne Vandewinkel and Dayana Yastremska, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 20, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $4,380 in smart money and 2 signals, including sharp bettor activity and backing on both the favorite and underdog.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,769.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
91% winner backing favorite
Sharp tennis bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Yastremska despite only a modest signal score.
- This bettor has won 20 of 22 resolved trades and is up $15.6K lifetime.
- Their past wins beat market odds by about 20 percentage points, suggesting real edge.
- They put $3K on Yastremska at 79¢ in a liquid tennis market.
$3,000 on Dayana Yastremska | Wallet win rate: 95%
81% sharp sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 81% historical win rate and $233k profit bought Hanne at 30%, despite the market moving down afterward.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $233,639 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 46 events with the same 81% hit rate.
- Entry at 30¢ suggests they saw Hanne as a mispriced underdog, though the market has since dropped to 18¢.
$1,380 on Hanne Vandewinkel | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable trio on underdog
Three profitable high-volume wallets simultaneously bought the Vandewinkel underdog, including one bettor up $8.2M lifetime, making the one-sided cluster worth surfacing despite the price moving against them afterward.
- Three wallets bought the same underdog within seconds, totaling $4.4K at 43¢.
- One bettor has a huge track record: 5,175 resolved bets and $8.2M lifetime profit.
- The entry was 43¢ while the market is now 33¢, so this is a cheaper follow than the original cluster paid.
$4,389 on Hanne Vandewinkel
Top Holders
- 0xae30...079e — Outcome 93528820, $4,629 (81% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 93528820, $3,765 (72% win rate)
- 0xfece...ef64 — Outcome 93528820, $1,000
- 0x0f8e...3082 — Outcome 93528820, $759
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 93528820, $613 (60% win rate)
- 0xe1ee...6863 — Outcome 93528820, $368
- 0x5628...abbc — Outcome 93528820, $342
- 0xf753...bcfe — Outcome 93528820, $219
- 0xa9e4...7161 — Outcome 93528820, $173
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Outcome 93528820, $168 (50% win rate)
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