Part of: UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,816.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp wallets pile into Noah Gugnon

Nine wallets committed $37,344 to Noah Gugnon, including highly profitable bettors with 92%–94% win rates, amid a major volume spike and 42-point price jump.

  • Nine wallets bought $37,344 of Noah Gugnon, driving a 42-percentage-point price increase during a 418x volume spike.
  • Two participating bettors have exceptional records: 94% wins over 320 bets and 92% over 289 bets, with substantial lifetime profits.
  • Most entries were near 50¢, implying the coordinated buyers saw a roughly even-money opportunity before the market moved to 100%.

$37,344 on Noah Gugnon

Sharp bettor scaling into Janicic

A proven 83% winner with $371K profit added to an existing Janicic position amid a 418x volume spike and four-wallet one-sided buying.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 143 resolved positions and earned $371,620 in profit.
  • The $2,900 purchase added to an existing $7,295 Janicic position, showing substantial conviction rather than a casual wager.
  • Four wallets bought Janicic for $6,563 during a 418x historical volume spike, although the market now shows Janicic at 0%.

$2,900 on Milos Janicic | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp bettor adds to Noah Gugnon

A highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate is adding to a Noah Gugnon position amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 18 resolved trades and is up $22,213.
  • They added $2,300 to an existing Noah Gugnon position at 46¢, showing increased conviction.
  • Market volume is running 96.5 times its historical average, while Noah Gugnon remains near 46¢.

$2,300 on Noah Gugnon | Wallet win rate: 89%

97% winner buys Noah Gugnon

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate bought Noah Gugnon amid a 166.9x volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 97% of trades—226 of 233—and is up $905,544 lifetime.
  • They placed a fresh $1,044 bet on Noah Gugnon at 47¢, while the market is seeing a 166.9x historical volume spike.
  • The wallet has traded 207 events and 233 markets, providing an unusually strong and broad track record.

$1,044 on Noah Gugnon | Wallet win rate: 97%

95% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $622,221 profit is taking a fresh position on Milos Janicic at 51%.

  • This bettor has won 1,325 of 1,400 resolved positions and earned $622,221 in profit.
  • The trade is backed by a 35-point edge over average implied odds across 1,400 bets.
  • They have traded 200 markets across 187 events, suggesting broad and persistent expertise rather than a one-off wager.

$1,228 on Milos Janicic | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd3fa...a26c Outcome 58700330, $20,000 (84% win rate)
  2. 0x8ab5...818b Outcome 58700330, $10,000
  3. 0x477f...6c45 Outcome 58700330, $7,958 (52% win rate)
  4. 0xca97...49f6 Outcome 58700330, $7,295 (85% win rate)
  5. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 58700330, $7,040 (95% win rate)
  6. 0xfbf3...b218 Outcome 58700330, $6,505 (45% win rate)
  7. 0xf5e1...5ad0 Outcome 58700330, $5,888 (48% win rate)
  8. 0x54f9...5c3d Outcome 58700330, $3,868 (94% win rate)
  9. 0x8a67...e0fa Outcome 58700330, $3,221
  10. 0xdc41...dd7e Outcome 58700330, $3,000 (66% win rate)

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UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Milos Janicic" if Milos Janicic is officially declared the winner of the fight against Noah Gugnon at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Noah Gugnon" if Noah Gugnon is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$37,344 on Noah Gugnon at 50¢

UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$2,900 on Milos Janicic at 55¢

UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$2,300 on Noah Gugnon at 46¢

UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$1,044 on Noah Gugnon at 47¢

UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$1,228 on Milos Janicic at 51¢

Related Theses