Part of: UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,055.

Categories: Sports, Games, UFC

Notable Trades

94% win-rate serial trader adds to Sam

A highly experienced serial trader with a 94% win rate added to an existing Sam Patterson position during an extreme volume spike, though the trade is partly routine position scaling.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 1,951 resolved trades and is up $77,099 lifetime.
  • The trader added $1,499 to Sam Patterson at 86¢, reinforcing a position that has since moved near 94¢.
  • Market activity was 837x its historical average, providing strong confirmation of unusually concentrated interest.

$1,499 on Sam Patterson | Wallet win rate: 95%

Whale adds to Patterson amid volume spike

A large addition to an existing Sam Patterson position coincided with an extreme 837x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet's 56% win rate is not notably sharp.

  • A $8,925 buy at 85¢ added to an existing Sam Patterson position, showing substantial conviction.
  • The market recorded an exceptional 837x spike versus its historical trading volume.
  • The wallet has extensive market experience across 662 events, but its 56% win rate offers limited evidence of a strong edge.

$8,925 on Sam Patterson | Wallet win rate: 56%

Extreme pre-event volume spike

A $4.2K Sam Patterson buy preceded a 10-point price move amid an extreme 837x pre-event volume spike, though the trader's broad record is only moderately strong.

  • A $4,205 buy at 84¢ preceded Sam Patterson rising to 94¢.
  • The market saw an 837x spike versus its historical trading average, with $132,600 traded in 24 hours.
  • The wallet is a highly active, profitable trader with 11,500 resolved bets and $1.21M in reported profit, though its 59% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.

$4,205 on Sam Patterson | Wallet win rate: 60%

97% winner leads Patterson cluster

Three wallets deployed $11.6K on Sam Patterson, including a bettor with a 97% win rate and a sharp coordinated volume spike.

  • A bettor with a 97% win rate across 66 resolved trades bought Sam Patterson at 83¢.
  • Three wallets committed $11,641 in the same direction during a 162x volume spike.
  • Two experienced wallets are adding to existing Patterson positions, reinforcing the 84% market price.

$11,641 on Sam Patterson

97% winner adds to Patterson

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate is adding to an existing Sam Patterson position at 83%.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 66 resolved trades and is up $35,889 lifetime.
  • The wallet is adding $1,200 to an existing Sam Patterson position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • Sam Patterson is trading around 82%, while the bettor bought at 83% in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$1,200 on Sam Patterson | Wallet win rate: 95%

99% winner adds to Sam Patterson

A highly profitable bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Sam Patterson position at 82%.

  • This bettor has won 82 of 83 resolved trades, with a 50-percentage-point edge over average entry odds.
  • They are adding $1,585 to an existing Sam Patterson position despite the market pricing him at 80%.
  • The trade dominates recent volume, representing 154% of the detected 24-hour volume.

$1,585 on Sam Patterson | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa3c5...6930 Outcome 59859741, $18,750 (69% win rate)
  2. 0x56b9...79a2 Outcome 59859741, $11,900 (89% win rate)
  3. 0x9c95...ed41 Outcome 59859741, $6,748 (78% win rate)
  4. 0x9c1c...7980 Outcome 59859741, $5,950 (73% win rate)
  5. 0x9fad...5a9f Outcome 59859741, $5,853 (42% win rate)
  6. 0x746e...68ca Outcome 59859741, $5,000 (93% win rate)
  7. 0x2256...0386 Outcome 59859741, $4,947 (91% win rate)
  8. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 59859741, $4,585 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x2ce8...4527 Outcome 59859741, $4,117 (82% win rate)
  10. 0x4f20...b29f Outcome 59859741, $2,333

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Athletics win high-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Team Liquid wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

Top Esports wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

HULIGANI wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

Basharat beats Garza

Covers 1 related market

Gable Steveson beats Ellison

Covers 1 related market

Team Falcons win Game 1

Covers 1 related market

Ilbirs eSports wins Game 1

Covers 1 related market

Bautista beats Sandhagen

Covers 1 related market

UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Santiago Ponzinibbio" if Santiago Ponzinibbio is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sam Patterson at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for July 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Sam Patterson" if Sam Patterson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Sam Patterson
102¢
84¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

14d ago

$1,499 on Sam Patterson at 86¢

UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

14d ago

$8,925 on Sam Patterson at 85¢

UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

14d ago

$4,205 on Sam Patterson at 84¢

UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

14d ago

$11,641 on Sam Patterson at 84¢

UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

14d ago

$1,200 on Sam Patterson at 83¢

UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

16d ago

$1,585 on Sam Patterson at 82¢

Related Theses