Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

This Polymarket-style prediction market tracks who will win the UFC Freedom 250 lightweight main card fight between Michael Chandler and Mauricio Ruffy, scheduled for June 14, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,800 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent alerts pointing to sharp activity on both the favorite and underdog. The market resolves after the official fight result, with a 50-50 resolution if the bout is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Michael Chandler" if Michael Chandler is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mauricio Ruffy at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Mauricio Ruffy" if Mauricio Ruffy is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,517.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Serial sharp buying underdog

A highly experienced profitable bettor with an 89% resolved win rate is taking a fresh 15¢ underdog position despite only a moderate single-signal alert.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 1,714 resolved trades and is up $249k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 99 events, so the wallet’s track record is the main signal.
  • Buying Chandler at 15¢ is a notable underdog swing with about 6.7x upside if it hits.

$1,800 on Michael Chandler | Wallet win rate: 89%

90% UFC sharp on favorite

Sharp profitable UFC bettor with a 90% record is adding a $1.7k Ruffy position in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $36.4k lifetime.
  • The $1.7k buy is large for recent activity, equal to about 85% of the flagged 24h volume.
  • Entry at 85¢ suggests they are backing Ruffy despite already-heavy favorite odds.

$1,717 on Mauricio Ruffy | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2256...0386 Mauricio Ruffy, $22,090 (90% win rate)
  2. 0xa49b...4c40 Michael Chandler, $18,000 (89% win rate)
  3. 0xf1f4...2483 Michael Chandler, $2,402
  4. 0xcd61...0002 Michael Chandler, $2,000
  5. 0xfe77...8fe4 Mauricio Ruffy, $1,220
  6. 0x22e6...409f Michael Chandler, $1,000 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x7966...6f94 Mauricio Ruffy, $728 (92% win rate)
  8. 0x18ea...ae46 Mauricio Ruffy, $630
  9. 0x8882...18d0 Mauricio Ruffy, $607
  10. 0xcb46...3692 Michael Chandler, $600

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Belal Muhammad beats Bonfim

Covers 1 related market

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Michael Chandler
14¢
Mauricio Ruffy
86¢

This market will resolve to "Michael Chandler" if Michael Chandler is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mauricio Ruffy at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Mauricio Ruffy" if Mauricio Ruffy is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Mauricio Ruffy
87¢
83¢
79¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

59m ago

$1,800 on Michael Chandler at 15¢

15¢14¢1¢

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

1h ago

$1,717 on Mauricio Ruffy at 85¢

85¢86¢1¢

Related Theses