Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

22 smart money signals detected, totaling $521,700.

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought Steve Garcia into a sharp pre-fight/live market move, with current pricing below their 48¢ entry.

This bettor wins 62% over 1,078 resolved bets and is up $156K lifetime.
They bought Steve Garcia at 48¢ while the market was moving hard against Garcia.
Current odds are around 40¢, so the same side is available cheaper than their entry.

$1,257 on Steve Garcia | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable bettor joins Garcia cluster

Profitable wallet with $258k lifetime P&L made a $19.5k underdog buy as part of a three-wallet $36.7k one-sided move on Steve Garcia.

This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up $258k lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $36.7k on Steve Garcia.
The $19.5k entry at 41¢ targets the underdog in a highly active UFC market.

$19,450 on Steve Garcia | Wallet win rate: 47%

Perfect-record sports sharp

A proven sports bettor with a perfect 48-for-48 resolved record and $55.6k profit is buying Steve Garcia at 41¢.

This bettor has won 48 of 48 resolved positions and is up $55.6k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events with a perfect resolved record.
Entry at 41¢ backs Steve Garcia as the underdog despite a highly liquid UFC market.

$4,100 on Steve Garcia | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp UFC bettor cluster

Sharp UFC bettor with a 90% track record is buying Steve Garcia alongside one-sided cluster flow.

This bettor has won 90% of resolved trades and is up $211,980 lifetime.
Four wallets are all buying Steve Garcia, totaling $15,500 in the same direction.
Entry at 41¢ implies a roughly 2.4x payout if Garcia wins.

$4,100 on Steve Garcia | Wallet win rate: 91%

86% winner backs Lopes

Elite profitable sports bettor with an 86% track record is making a large Diego Lopes position alongside one-sided cluster flow before UFC Freedom 250.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $4.8M lifetime.
They bought $221K of Diego Lopes around 58–59¢, showing major conviction.
Four wallets are all buying Lopes, totaling $551K on the same side.

$220,980 on Diego Lopes | Wallet win rate: 51%

Perfect-record MMA sharp

A perfect-record sports bettor is buying Diego Lopes alongside major one-sided flow and a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is 25-for-25 on resolved positions and up $101,648 lifetime.
They are buying Diego Lopes at 58¢, while the market is still around 60¢.
Four wallets have pushed the same side with $551K, alongside a 76x pre-event volume spike.

$2,500 on Diego Lopes | Wallet win rate: 100%

98% winner joins Lopes cluster

Surfacing because a highly profitable 98% win-rate bettor bought Diego Lopes amid major same-side flow and a pre-fight volume spike.

This bettor has won 42 of 43 resolved bets and is up about $190k lifetime.
Four wallets have bought the same side, totaling about $551k on Diego Lopes.
Market volume is surging before the fight, with activity running 76x above its historical average.

$9,873 on Diego Lopes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp wallet backs underdog

Surface because one Garcia buyer has a strong 92% record and the trade is part of a 4-wallet same-direction cluster, though larger opposing Lopes flow is a notable caution.

One Garcia buyer wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $7.9K on $57.5K invested.
Four wallets bought Garcia together for $13.3K around 41–42¢.
This is against much larger Lopes buying, making it a contrarian underdog position.

$13,346 on Steve Garcia

Profitable sports whale

A highly profitable serial sports trader put $76K on Diego Lopes during a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is up $3.9M lifetime across 145 resolved markets.
They placed a $76K bet on Diego Lopes at 58¢ before fight resolution.
Market volume spiked over 1000x versus its historical average, suggesting broader pre-fight interest.

$3,088 on Diego Lopes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume sports bettor with a 69% lifetime win rate and $381k profit is buying Diego Lopes alongside one-sided flow from other wallets.

This bettor has won 69% of 41,418 resolved trades and is up $381k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 577 events with $2.9M in tracked volume.
Three wallets are all buying Diego Lopes, totaling $7.8k in the same direction.

$4,692 on Diego Lopes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 10803335, $89,440 (74% win rate)
0x1117...3532 — Outcome 10803335, $79,999 (66% win rate)
0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 10803335, $75,000 (77% win rate)
0xe133...c4fb — Outcome 10803335, $58,811 (100% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10803335, $50,973 (65% win rate)
0x6f8b...01aa — Outcome 10803335, $32,000 (41% win rate)
0x7966...6f94 — Outcome 10803335, $28,659 (91% win rate)
0xb175...2fd8 — Outcome 10803335, $23,227
0x6203...6280 — Outcome 10803335, $14,966 (38% win rate)
0xc36e...12d8 — Outcome 10803335, $12,000 (80% win rate)

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UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

ResolvedUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$521,700 tracked22 signalsUFCGamesSports

This market will resolve to "Steve Garcia" if Steve Garcia is officially declared the winner of the fight against Diego Lopes at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Diego Lopes" if Diego Lopes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.