Part of: United States vs. Australia - More Markets

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $94,775.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

87% winner joins Over cluster

Strong multi-signal Over cluster led by a proven 87% winning bettor and a large equivalent buy at 11¢ despite earlier entries moving against the group.

  • A proven bettor in this cluster wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $670k lifetime.
  • Three wallets put $20k on the Over side, including a large trade equivalent to buying Over at 11¢.
  • Market volume is running 14x normal ahead of the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-game positioning.

$20,112 on Over

87% winner buying goals

A highly profitable 87% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Over despite the market drifting lower afterward.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $670K lifetime.
  • They have traded 252 markets across 215 events with the same 87% hit rate.
  • The market has moved against their 24¢ entry to 16¢, so followers may currently get a better price than the sharp wallet paid.

$1,067 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Under at 72¢ before it moved to 84¢, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $4.1M lifetime across a very large sample of resolved bets.
  • They placed $14.6K across 5 markets in the same event, suggesting a broader game-level view.
  • This Under bet was bought at 72¢ and has already moved to 84¢.

$1,989 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%

New wallet backing Under

Brand-new wallet is repeatedly betting sizable amounts and pushed against Over as the market moved sharply toward Under.

  • This 5-hour-old wallet has already placed about $6k in flagged bets and is up $3.1k so far.
  • It sold Over twice for $5.1k, equivalent to buying Under around 78¢.
  • The market has moved sharply toward Under, with Over down 19 points and a 24x volume spike.

$5,058 on Under | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp wallets piling into Under

Four-wallet Under cluster is supported by a sharp profitable wallet, a major profitable sports trader, and a 31.8x pre-event volume spike despite some opposing flow.

  • A bettor who wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $385K effectively bought Under at 60¢.
  • Four wallets put $21K on Under as pre-game volume surged 31.8x above normal.
  • One large Under buyer is up $4.1M lifetime across nearly $300M traded.

$21,096 on Under

Five-wallet Under push

Surfacing because five wallets pushed $29.6k toward Under amid a 33x pre-event volume spike, with one participant up over $4.1M lifetime despite some mixed opposing flow.

  • Five wallets put $29.6k on Under, including one bettor up $4.1M lifetime.
  • The market saw a 33x pre-game volume spike and Under has moved up about 14 points in the last day.
  • Entry around 58¢ implies the group is betting this total stays below 4 goals despite heavy market activity.

$29,578 on Under

Sharp bettor joins Over cluster

A proven profitable sports bettor with an 87% record joined a three-wallet Over cluster, alongside heavy cross-market positioning and a brand-new wallet betting big.

  • A bettor who wins 87% of their bets and is up $670K bought Over at 24¢.
  • Three wallets put $12.2K on the same side, with one new wallet only 5 hours old already making repeat large bets.
  • This is part of broader event positioning across many related markets, suggesting a coordinated view rather than a one-off bet.

$12,203 on Over

Profitable serial event bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with $1.75M lifetime P&L is backing Under while also deploying significant capital across this event amid a large pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 66% wins across 1,292 resolved bets and $1.75M in profit.
  • They are active across this same event, with $77.6K placed over 5 related markets.
  • Entry at 72¢ on Under has already moved to 74¢, suggesting the market is following their side.

$1,323 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%

99% sharp sports bettor

Elite sharp wallet with a 99% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Over at 29¢ despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved bets and is up $164.7K lifetime.
  • They have traded 127 events with a 99% win rate, making the wallet itself the signal.
  • Entry at 29¢ implies a ~3.4x payout if Over hits.

$2,350 on Over | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 33495713, $71,379 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x4f12...8140 Outcome 33495713, $34,622 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 33495713, $17,684 (95% win rate)
  4. 0xe5f0...dc1d Outcome 33495713, $15,011 (24% win rate)
  5. 0x3561...f1b7 Outcome 33495713, $9,126
  6. 0xdd51...1041 Outcome 33495713, $8,162 (99% win rate)
  7. 0x6061...79de Outcome 33495713, $7,272 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 33495713, $6,878 (63% win rate)
  9. 0xe881...19ab Outcome 33495713, $5,000
  10. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 33495713, $4,444 (87% win rate)

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Iraq wins three nil

Covers 9 related markets

Portugal held to low score

Covers 7 related markets

Ghana gets shut out

Covers 6 related markets

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

ResolvedUnited States vs. Australia - More Markets$94,775 tracked9 signalsFIFA World CupSoccerGamesSports

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Australia, scheduled for June 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if United States and Australia combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

1d ago

$20,112 on Over at 11¢

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

1d ago

$1,067 on Over at 24¢

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

1d ago

$1,989 on Under at 72¢

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

1d ago

$5,058 on Under at 78¢

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

1d ago

$21,096 on Under at 57¢

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

1d ago

$29,578 on Under at 58¢

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

1d ago

$12,203 on Over at 24¢

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

1d ago

$1,323 on Under at 72¢

United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

1d ago

$2,350 on Over at 29¢

Related Theses