Part of: Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,566.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Pro bettor fading Over
A highly profitable 78% lifetime bettor joined one-sided flow selling Over, with the market moving sharply down afterward.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.34M lifetime.
- They sold Over at 45¢, which is equivalent to buying Under at 55¢.
- Three wallets pushed the same direction, and Over has already dropped about 16 percentage points.
$1,358 on Under | Wallet win rate: 78%
85% winners buying long shot
Surfaced because two profitable 85% win-rate wallets joined a one-sided Over buying cluster, though the largest participant has a poor lifetime record and the price has since moved sharply against them.
- Two wallets in this cluster win about 85% of their resolved bets and are up roughly $64k combined lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $22.8k of the same outcome, a large push against only about $7k of visible liquidity.
- The market has moved against them from roughly 49¢ average entry to 23¢, so this is a high-risk copy at a much cheaper price.
$22,793 on Over
79% serial cross-market bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% track record is making a sizable cross-market Over bet amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $44.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 196 events, with $14.4K positioned across 3 markets in this match.
- Market volume spiked 410x and Over has already moved up 37 points in the last day.
$5,954 on Over | Wallet win rate: 82%
Linked cluster buying Under
High-score linked-wallet cluster is taking the Under side, with one repeat new wallet already profitable despite limited history.
- Four linked wallets share the same funder and are positioned on the same Under thesis.
- A repeat new wallet in the group is up $1,277 and has been flagged 5 times for larger bets.
- The cluster is taking the contrarian side after Over moved sharply higher in the past day.
$5,462 on Under
Top Holders
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 47394522, $32,068 (78% win rate)
- 0x18b8...c368 — Outcome 47394522, $8,040 (82% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 47394522, $6,651 (71% win rate)
- 0xa645...0be6 — Outcome 47394522, $3,085 (37% win rate)
- 0xcd87...ac38 — Outcome 47394522, $1,723 (48% win rate)
- 0x6bf6...d1b3 — Outcome 47394522, $1,714
- 0x0249...5b4b — Outcome 47394522, $1,500 (89% win rate)
- 0x0519...3b47 — Outcome 47394522, $1,044
- 0xb75c...975c — Outcome 47394522, $872 (100% win rate)
- 0xa2c3...ac23 — Outcome 47394522, $500
Related Theses
Favorites advance, Spain Netherlands miss
Covers 7 related markets
