Part of: Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,566.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

Pro bettor fading Over

A highly profitable 78% lifetime bettor joined one-sided flow selling Over, with the market moving sharply down afterward.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.34M lifetime.
  • They sold Over at 45¢, which is equivalent to buying Under at 55¢.
  • Three wallets pushed the same direction, and Over has already dropped about 16 percentage points.

$1,358 on Under | Wallet win rate: 78%

85% winners buying long shot

Surfaced because two profitable 85% win-rate wallets joined a one-sided Over buying cluster, though the largest participant has a poor lifetime record and the price has since moved sharply against them.

  • Two wallets in this cluster win about 85% of their resolved bets and are up roughly $64k combined lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $22.8k of the same outcome, a large push against only about $7k of visible liquidity.
  • The market has moved against them from roughly 49¢ average entry to 23¢, so this is a high-risk copy at a much cheaper price.

$22,793 on Over

79% serial cross-market bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% track record is making a sizable cross-market Over bet amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $44.9K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 196 events, with $14.4K positioned across 3 markets in this match.
  • Market volume spiked 410x and Over has already moved up 37 points in the last day.

$5,954 on Over | Wallet win rate: 82%

Linked cluster buying Under

High-score linked-wallet cluster is taking the Under side, with one repeat new wallet already profitable despite limited history.

  • Four linked wallets share the same funder and are positioned on the same Under thesis.
  • A repeat new wallet in the group is up $1,277 and has been flagged 5 times for larger bets.
  • The cluster is taking the contrarian side after Over moved sharply higher in the past day.

$5,462 on Under

Top Holders

  1. 0x44c5...8d45 Outcome 47394522, $32,068 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x18b8...c368 Outcome 47394522, $8,040 (82% win rate)
  3. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 47394522, $6,651 (71% win rate)
  4. 0xa645...0be6 Outcome 47394522, $3,085 (37% win rate)
  5. 0xcd87...ac38 Outcome 47394522, $1,723 (48% win rate)
  6. 0x6bf6...d1b3 Outcome 47394522, $1,714
  7. 0x0249...5b4b Outcome 47394522, $1,500 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x0519...3b47 Outcome 47394522, $1,044
  9. 0xb75c...975c Outcome 47394522, $872 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xa2c3...ac23 Outcome 47394522, $500

Related Theses

Favorites advance, Spain Netherlands miss

Covers 7 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5

ResolvedUruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets$35,566 tracked4 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Cabo Verde, scheduled for June 21 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Uruguay score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Uruguay score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Uruguay's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Under
102¢
78¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5

10d ago

$1,358 on Under at 55¢

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5

10d ago

$22,793 on Over at 49¢

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5

10d ago

$5,954 on Over at 74¢

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5

10d ago

$5,462 on Under at 40¢

Related Theses