US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

This market refers on the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 3 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $58,447.

Notable Trades

91% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and nearly $1.0M profit just put $10.2k on the underdog in this tennis match during a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $999k across 183 settled positions.
They just placed a $10.2k bet on Thiago Agustin Tirante at 37¢, taking more than 61% of this market’s 24-hour volume.
This wallet has traded 261 markets across 244 events with the same 91% hit rate, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off win.

$10,210 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 91%

77% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate put nearly $10k into Ben Shelton, making this a credible sharp sports bet despite only moderate composite score.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved markets across 228 events and is up about $49.7k lifetime
They put nearly $10k on Ben Shelton in one trade, equal to 59% of this market's 24-hour volume
Bought at 71¢, so they likely see Shelton as better than a 71% chance even after the price has slipped to 68¢

$9,900 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 77%

4-wallet underdog cluster

A 4-wallet one-sided cluster piled into Thiago Agustin Tirante during a huge pre-match volume spike, and this wallet is a very active cross-market sports trader despite a mediocre standalone track record.

4 wallets all bought Thiago Agustin Tirante, putting $29k on the same side.
Market volume jumped 137x versus normal activity before the match.
This wallet trades sports heavily across 34 events, but its own history is mixed with a 66% win rate and negative P&L.

$5,705 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 66%

5-wallet underdog cluster

Five wallets piled into the underdog in a modestly sized tennis market during a 50x volume spike, creating a strong coordinated contrarian signal despite mixed individual track records.

Five wallets bought Thiago Agustin Tirante for $13.4k while market activity jumped 50.5x above normal
Most of the buying came at 25-34¢, showing a coordinated bet on the underdog at roughly 3-to-1 odds
One wallet also sold Ben Shelton before buying Tirante, reinforcing the same match view across both sides

$13,369 on Thiago Agustin Tirante

Sharp bettor in 6-wallet wave

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 76% hit rate joined a 6-wallet one-sided wave into Ben Shelton, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the rich 83¢ entry.

This wallet has 1,022 resolved bets and wins 76% of the time across 184 events
Six wallets all bought Ben Shelton in the same window for a combined $39.5k
The market saw a 50x volume spike, and this bettor paid 83¢ while Shelton now trades at 68¢

$5,850 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 76%

6-wallet Shelton pile-in

Six wallets piled into Ben Shelton for nearly $40k during a major volume spike, making this coordinated one-sided flow worth watching despite this specific wallet's weak track record.

Six wallets all bought Ben Shelton in the same window, totaling $39.5k of one-sided flow
Market volume jumped 50.5x above normal, which suggests a real wave of conviction rather than one random bet
This wallet paid 68¢ with the market still at 68-69¢, so the signal is the coordinated buying more than this trader alone

$8,832 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 50%

3-wallet upset cluster

A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined two other wallets in a coordinated bet on a major tennis upset, making this a notable cluster despite one weak wallet and a bad fill by the lead buyer.

Three wallets lined up on Ben Shelton, including a bettor up $711k with a 74% win rate across 431 resolved trades.
One wallet sold Tirante at 89¢, which is effectively the same as buying Shelton at 11¢ and matches the cluster's upset view.
The market saw a 178x volume spike, but Shelton has since collapsed to 2¢, so this looks like a high-risk longshot entry rather than momentum.

$4,580 on Ben Shelton