US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoe
This market refers on the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Frances Tiafoe in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 4 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,470.
Notable Trades
18-0 sharp bettor
A bettor with a perfect 18-0 resolved record bought Frances Tiafoe at 34¢ into a strong pre-match volume spike, making this small but sharp-looking sports position worth watching.
- This bettor has won 100% of 18 resolved bets and is up $44k
- They bought Frances Tiafoe at 34¢, a price that implies a nearly 3x payout if right
- The trade landed during a 12.9x surge in market volume before the match
$1,250 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 100%
4-wallet funded cluster
A profitable high-volume sports trader from a 4-wallet linked cluster bought into a pre-match volume surge, making this flow worth watching despite the modest ticket size and slightly worse current price.
- This wallet has nearly 1,900 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up about $23k overall.
- Four wallets funded by the same source have put about $25.4k into related bets, which points to coordinated conviction.
- The match market saw an 83x volume spike, and this bettor paid 89¢ for Tommy Paul while the market now sits lower at 84¢.
$1,414 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 62%
26-0 sharp backing Tiafoe
A bettor with a perfect 26-for-26 resolved record just put $16.7k on Frances Tiafoe at 35¢ during an unusually large volume surge, making this worth surfacing despite the low composite score.
- This bettor has won 26 of 26 resolved trades and is up $438k lifetime
- They bought Frances Tiafoe at 35¢ with a $16.7k bet during an 86.7x volume spike
- Entry at 35¢ implies they see Tiafoe as meaningfully undervalued versus the market near 32¢ now
$16,670 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor on underdog
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 74% win rate and nearly $1.0M in profit is taking a meaningful underdog position on Frances Tiafoe at 31¢, making this a copy-worthy sharp bet despite only one signal firing.
- This bettor has won 446 of 600 resolved trades and is up about $969k overall
- They bought Frances Tiafoe at 31¢, a clear underdog price against a 70¢ Tommy Paul market
- This wallet has traded 88 markets across 78 events, showing a broad repeatable betting edge
$5,410 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp-led Tiafoe cluster
Three wallets piled $20.8k into Frances Tiafoe during a 66.9x volume spike, led by one wallet with a perfect 26-for-26 resolved record and $438k profit.
- One wallet in this cluster is 26 for 26 on resolved bets and up $438k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side within minutes, putting $20.8k on Tiafoe at 30-35¢.
- The market saw a 66.9x jump in activity, suggesting fast money moved in together on this side.
$20,840 on Frances Tiafoe
86% win-rate underdog buyer
A highly profitable 86% win-rate sports trader bought Frances Tiafoe at 29¢ during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a strong underdog signal worth following.
- This bettor wins 86% of their resolved trades and is up $122.6k across 64 bets.
- They bought Frances Tiafoe at 29¢, pricing him like a long shot with roughly 2.4x upside if they are right.
- This wallet has bet across 43 events with the same strong hit rate, and this market saw a 473x volume spike before the match.
$4,651 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 86%
90% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 90% win rate bought Frances Tiafoe at 29¢ during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this underdog entry worth watching.
- This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades and is up about $187k on $613k invested
- They trade heavily across 260 events and still keep that 90% hit rate, which suggests real edge rather than luck
- Bought Frances Tiafoe at 29¢ during a 473x volume spike, implying they see the underdog as meaningfully mispriced
$1,346 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp bettor buys underdog
A proven sharp bettor with an 86% win rate and $122.6k profit is taking Frances Tiafoe at 29¢, making this a credible underdog position worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 86% of their trades and is up $122.6k across 64 resolved markets
- They have a long track record across 41 events and 44 markets, not just one lucky streak
- Buying Frances Tiafoe at 29¢ suggests they see the underdog as meaningfully mispriced
$1,158 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable sports bettor buying favorite
A profitable bettor with an 80% hit rate and $156k realized P&L made a fresh $6.2k buy on Tommy Paul at 71¢, which is notable even in a fairly liquid sports market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $156k overall
- They placed a $6.2k buy on Tommy Paul at 71¢, a meaningful position in this match market
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly before, suggesting this is an active bettor worth tracking
$6,233 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 76% win rate and $3.6M in profits bought Tommy Paul at 69¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 76% of 2,231 resolved trades and is up $3.6M lifetime
- They have traded 212 markets across 165 events, showing a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Tommy Paul at 69¢, a meaningful $3.5k position in a market with about $22k of liquidity
$3,497 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xe30e...6b87 — Tommy Paul, $89,921 (80% win rate)
- 0x9750...263d — Frances Tiafoe, $47,179 (100% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Tommy Paul, $37,014 (50% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Frances Tiafoe, $33,359 (86% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Frances Tiafoe, $18,206 (75% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — Tommy Paul, $17,799 (60% win rate)
- 0x1624...bf63 — Tommy Paul, $17,228
- 0x507e...beae — Tommy Paul, $15,053 (50% win rate)
- 0xe64f...7d71 — Frances Tiafoe, $13,150 (56% win rate)
- 0xf92a...99ac — Frances Tiafoe, $11,819 (33% win rate)
