Part of: US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,732.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Proven serial bettor backs Vallejo

A proven high-volume cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate made a fresh $1,000 Vallejo bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, despite the price later falling from 64% to 54%.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 281 resolved trades and earned $375,934 in profit.
  • The $1,000 Vallejo purchase coincided with a 266.7x surge over the market's historical trading activity.
  • Vallejo has since fallen from the bettor's 64% entry to 54%, offering a substantially cheaper entry but also signaling adverse price movement.

$1,000 on Adolfo Vallejo | Wallet win rate: 78%

Three-wallet Monfils buying cluster

Three substantial bettors bought Gael Monfils around 35–36 cents amid a major volume spike and a sharp 17-point move against Vallejo, with one bettor showing a 71% win rate.

  • Three wallets committed $8,612 to Gael Monfils, with most entries near 35–36¢.
  • The market saw a 266.7× historical volume spike while Vallejo’s price fell 17 percentage points.
  • One participating bettor wins 71% of 435 resolved trades and is up nearly $247,000.

$13,935 on Gael Monfils

93% winner adds to tennis position

A proven 93% winner made a large $9.3K tennis bet, but the position is already underwater and appears to be an addition to an existing stake.

  • This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved trades and is up $10,190 overall.
  • The $9,327 purchase came amid a 412x surge in market activity, signaling notable event-specific conviction.
  • Adolfo Vallejo has since fallen from the 83¢ entry to about 64¢, so the trade is currently underwater despite the bettor's track record.

$9,327 on Adolfo Vallejo | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor leads $41K Vallejo push

Four wallets added $41,000 to Adolfo Vallejo, including a bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial market-wide volume confirmation.

  • A bettor with a 93% win rate and $10,190 profit is adding to the Vallejo position at 83¢.
  • Four wallets bought the same outcome for $40,987, equal to roughly 28% of market liquidity.
  • Trading volume spiked to 270 times its historical average while Vallejo odds moved up 18.5%.

$40,987 on Adolfo Vallejo

Profitable serial bettor backs Vallejo

A serial cross-market trader with a strong 73% win rate and substantial profit is making a fresh $1,200 bet on Adolfo Vallejo at 57 cents.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 82 resolved trades and is up nearly $52,000.
  • The wallet has traded 45 events across 53 markets, providing a meaningful track record beyond this single bet.
  • A fresh $1,200 position backs Adolfo Vallejo at 57 cents, below the market's 56–57% pricing range.

$1,200 on Adolfo Vallejo | Wallet win rate: 74%

96% winner scaling into Monfils

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding $3,283 to Gael Monfils despite already holding the position.

  • This bettor has won 121 of 126 resolved trades and is up $233,973.
  • They are adding $3,283 to Gael Monfils at 46¢ after already investing $7,101 in the position.
  • The 46¢ entry implies roughly a 2.2x payout if Monfils advances, with the market currently pricing him near 44%.

$3,283 on Gael Monfils | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x464f...01b7 Outcome 85894676, $44,347
  2. 0x86b1...c094 Outcome 85894676, $40,677 (37% win rate)
  3. 0xd104...710b Outcome 85894676, $34,352 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xf3a1...bf4b Outcome 85894676, $20,370 (96% win rate)
  5. 0x82da...da33 Outcome 85894676, $17,018 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x565c...878d Outcome 85894676, $11,070 (75% win rate)
  7. 0xd3e7...bf64 Outcome 85894676, $4,119 (63% win rate)
  8. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 85894676, $4,084 (88% win rate)
  9. 0x44d6...9858 Outcome 85894676, $4,000 (48% win rate)
  10. 0x06a9...1a49 Outcome 85894676, $3,872 (74% win rate)

Related Theses

Sakkari beats Chwalinska

Covers 1 related market

Zverev beats Cobolli

Covers 1 related market

Zidansek will win qualifier

Covers 1 related market

Van de Zandschulp beats Griekspoor

Covers 1 related market

Auger-Aliassime beats Tabilo

Covers 1 related market

England covers against France

Covers 1 related market

Tsitsipas defeats Collignon

Covers 1 related market

Svitolina beats Kostyuk

Covers 1 related market

Argentina will keep it close

Covers 1 related market

Yastremska beats Bejlek

Covers 1 related market

US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

ResolvedUS Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils$69,732 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Gael Monfils in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Gael Monfils. This market will resolve to 'Gael Monfils' if Gael Monfils advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Gael Monfils
79¢
60¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

9d ago

$1,000 on Adolfo Vallejo at 64¢

US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

9d ago

$13,935 on Gael Monfils at 37¢

US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

9d ago

$9,327 on Adolfo Vallejo at 83¢

US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

9d ago

$40,987 on Adolfo Vallejo at 81¢

US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

10d ago

$1,200 on Adolfo Vallejo at 57¢

US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

10d ago

$3,283 on Gael Monfils at 46¢

Related Theses