Part of: US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Tomas Etcheverry
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Tomas Etcheverry
This US Open ATP prediction market covers whether Alex Michelsen or Tomas Etcheverry advances in their scheduled September 6, 2026 match. The market currently has $65,042 in tracked smart money across two signals, with recent sharp-bettor activity backing Michelsen. It resolves to the player who advances, subject to the exchange’s cancellation and deadline rules.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,212.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
95% win-rate bettor adds to Michelsen
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge added $20,000 to an existing Alex Michelsen position amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 76 of 80 resolved trades, earning $236,297 while entering at an average winning price of 59%.
- They added $20,000 to an existing Alex Michelsen position at 75¢, showing increased conviction as the market moved to 84%.
- Trading volume was 264 times its historical average, providing strong confirmation of the position.
$20,000 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 96%
Elite bettors scaling into Michelsen
Three wallets added $45,000 to Alex Michelsen, including two highly profitable bettors with 94-95% win rates, amid a 418x volume spike.
- Two bettors with 94% and 95% win rates added to their existing Michelsen positions.
- Three wallets bought $45,042 together, producing a 418x spike in usual market activity.
- The bets entered at 74-77¢ while Michelsen has since risen to 82%, confirming strong market momentum.
$19,929 on Alex Michelsen
97% winner adds to Michelsen
A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $5,000 to an existing Alex Michelsen position.
- This bettor has won 97% of 445 resolved positions, with $399,634 in lifetime profit.
- The wallet is adding $5,000 to an existing Alex Michelsen position at 73¢, signaling increased conviction.
- Its 56¢ average winning entry price implies a substantial edge beyond simply backing favorites.
$5,000 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 97%
Serial sharp scaling into Michelsen
A proven 84% winner with a substantial positive edge is adding $8,083 to an existing Alex Michelsen position while showing broad serial cross-market activity.
- This bettor has won 84% of 32 resolved trades, earning nearly $25,000 while entering at average odds of 60%.
- The $8,083 purchase adds to an existing $11,073 Michelsen position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.
- The trade was made at 73¢, below the bettor's historical average winning entry price of 62% only modestly adjusted for the market favorite, with a 1¢ spread and ample liquidity.
$8,083 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 71%
Serial sharp bettor backs Michelsen
A highly experienced serial trader with an 81% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Michelsen at the current market price.
- This bettor has won 81% of 1,153 resolved trades and is up $639,840 lifetime.
- Their results indicate a meaningful edge: 81% wins versus 61% average entry odds.
- The $1,200 position represents fresh conviction on Michelsen, who is priced at 74%.
$1,200 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 37900892, $14,285 (58% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 37900892, $11,520
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 37900892, $9,817 (70% win rate)
- 0x796f...00f6 — Outcome 37900892, $7,751 (64% win rate)
- 0x3663...8950 — Outcome 37900892, $5,600 (44% win rate)
- 0x0079...31c7 — Outcome 37900892, $3,338 (65% win rate)
- 0xde80...d8b9 — Outcome 37900892, $3,145 (61% win rate)
- 0x204f...1c65 — Outcome 37900892, $3,105
- 0x545d...c122 — Outcome 37900892, $2,799 (66% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 37900892, $2,688 (60% win rate)
Related Theses
Tommy Paul beats Altmaier
Covers 1 related market
