Part of: US Open ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo
US Open ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Alejandro Tabilo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexei Popyrin' if Alexei Popyrin advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Alexei Popyrin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,750.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Tabilo conviction cluster
Three wallets added nearly $20,000 to Alejandro Tabilo positions during a 165x volume spike, providing a meaningful coordinated-conviction signal despite mixed track records.
- Three wallets added $19,750 to Alejandro Tabilo while the market saw a 165x historical volume spike.
- All three already held Tabilo positions, so these trades signal increased conviction rather than routine one-off activity.
- The strongest wallet is up $1.5 million lifetime and wins 59% of 620 resolved bets, with purchases concentrated near 61%.
$19,750 on Alejandro Tabilo
Sharp bettor fades Tabilo
A highly profitable bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is selling Tabilo at 60%, implying a fresh buy on Popyrin around 40%.
- This bettor wins 82% of 333 resolved trades and is up $961,000 lifetime.
- Selling Tabilo at 60¢ is equivalent to backing Popyrin at about 40¢.
- The wallet has traded across 278 events and deployed nearly $6.8 million, providing a strong track record beyond this single match.
$4,500 on Alexei Popyrin | Wallet win rate: 81%
96% win-rate bettor adds to Tabilo
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding $3,250 to Alejandro Tabilo at 59¢.
- This bettor has won 96% of 130 resolved positions and earned $246,633 in profit.
- They are adding $3,250 to an existing Alejandro Tabilo position at 59¢, despite the market pricing him near 58%.
- The trader has bet across 125 separate events, suggesting a broad and consistently successful track record rather than a one-off result.
$3,250 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 91%
Proven sharp backing Tabilo
A highly experienced bettor with 1,145 resolved trades and a 20-point edge is backing Tabilo, making this a credible sharp signal despite the modest stake.
- This bettor wins 81% of 1,145 resolved trades and is up $634,149 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded 359 markets across 350 events, showing a sustained edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Tabilo was bought at 58¢, close to the current market price but still below the suggested 68¢ copy ceiling.
$1,250 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 82%
Related Theses
Belgium advances in low-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Low-scoring match, Villa held under two
Covers 3 related markets
Lille-Betis under four goals
Covers 3 related markets
Learner Tien will beat Gael Monfils
Covers 1 related market
Tommy Paul beats Altmaier
Covers 1 related market
