Part of: US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea
US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $52,486.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Coordinated flow before a 29-point surge
Three wallets coordinated on Arthur Gea, including a serial cross-market trader, and the position preceded a 29-point price surge despite the market now being fully repriced.
- Three wallets bought Arthur Gea together for nearly $4,900, and the price subsequently rose 29 percentage points.
- One participant has traded 63 events with a 70% win rate and $29,173 in recorded profit.
- The strongest entry was around 56–59¢, but the market is now at 100%, so the signal is mainly useful for study rather than immediate entry.
$4,900 on Arthur Gea
Sharp bettor switching sides
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate is exiting Arthur Gea, implying a potential switch toward Juan Manuel Cerundolo, though the prior position makes this less decisive.
- This bettor wins 83% of 583 resolved trades and is up $190,849 lifetime.
- Selling Arthur Gea at 53¢ is equivalent to buying Juan Manuel Cerundolo around 47¢.
- The trader has acted across 195 markets and 153 events, but this appears to be an exit rather than a clearly new position.
$1,519 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 85%
Elite 88% win-rate bettor
A highly proven bettor with an 88% win rate across 397 resolved positions is buying Cerundolo at 46%, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 88% of 397 resolved positions and has earned $2.35M in P&L.
- The trade comes from a serial cross-market trader active across 313 events and 414 markets.
- A $4,458 position backs Cerundolo at 46%, with a suggested entry ceiling of 56%.
$6,800 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 87%
96% winner adds to Gea
A proven 96% win-rate bettor with a substantial edge is adding $2,500 to an existing Arthur Gea position at 55%.
- This bettor has won 96% of 391 resolved trades and is up $322,719 lifetime.
- The wallet is adding $2,500 to an existing Arthur Gea position, bringing its investment to roughly $7,045.
- Arthur Gea is available around 55%, near the trader’s entry and current market odds of 56%.
$2,500 on Arthur Gea | Wallet win rate: 95%
Elite 88% win-rate bettor
A highly proven bettor with an 88% win rate across 397 resolved positions is buying Cerundolo at 46%, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 88% of 397 resolved positions and has earned $2.35M in P&L.
- The trade comes from a serial cross-market trader active across 313 events and 414 markets.
- A $4,458 position backs Cerundolo at 46%, with a suggested entry ceiling of 56%.
$4,458 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 87%
Serial bettor makes thin-market bet
A highly experienced serial trader with a massive sample and lifetime profit placed a $3.8K bet on Arthur Gea in a thin market, though the historical edge is modest.
- This trader has 49,900 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and $46.4M in lifetime profit.
- The $3,812 Arthur Gea position is 237% of the market's reported 24-hour volume.
- The entry is near market price at 52¢, so the signal reflects conviction more than a clearly large mispricing.
$3,527 on Arthur Gea | Wallet win rate: 65%
Serial bettor makes thin-market bet
A highly experienced serial trader with a massive sample and lifetime profit placed a $3.8K bet on Arthur Gea in a thin market, though the historical edge is modest.
- This trader has 49,900 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and $46.4M in lifetime profit.
- The $3,812 Arthur Gea position is 237% of the market's reported 24-hour volume.
- The entry is near market price at 52¢, so the signal reflects conviction more than a clearly large mispricing.
$7,251 on Arthur Gea | Wallet win rate: 65%
Elite bettor adds to Arthur Gea
A highly profitable tennis bettor with 612 resolved positions and a substantial edge is adding to an existing Arthur Gea position at 57%.
- This bettor wins 84% of 612 resolved trades and is up $1.04 million lifetime.
- They are adding $6,750 to an existing Arthur Gea position, bringing total investment to nearly $18,600.
- The 57¢ entry implies the bettor values Arthur Gea at materially better than the market’s current 57% chance.
$6,750 on Arthur Gea | Wallet win rate: 85%
Serial bettor makes thin-market bet
A highly experienced serial trader with a massive sample and lifetime profit placed a $3.8K bet on Arthur Gea in a thin market, though the historical edge is modest.
- This trader has 49,900 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and $46.4M in lifetime profit.
- The $3,812 Arthur Gea position is 237% of the market's reported 24-hour volume.
- The entry is near market price at 52¢, so the signal reflects conviction more than a clearly large mispricing.
$1,567 on Arthur Gea | Wallet win rate: 65%
99% win-rate serial bettor
A highly experienced serial trader with a 99% win rate and $18.0M lifetime profit bought Arthur Gea at market odds.
- This bettor has won 2,151 of 2,174 resolved positions and is up $18.0M lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 1,461 markets and 1,375 events, making this a fresh position from an exceptionally active specialist.
- Arthur Gea was bought at 55¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful value at the current price.
$4,125 on Arthur Gea | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0x67ac...edf1 — Outcome 67693441, $42,307 (65% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 67693441, $35,000 (87% win rate)
- 0xf3a1...bf4b — Outcome 67693441, $20,408 (96% win rate)
- 0x7568...2ce1 — Outcome 67693441, $8,333 (96% win rate)
- 0x41b4...10da — Outcome 67693441, $5,507 (58% win rate)
- 0x1538...b3e6 — Outcome 67693441, $4,765
- 0x240a...814c — Outcome 67693441, $4,725 (90% win rate)
- 0x2978...b511 — Outcome 67693441, $4,455 (45% win rate)
- 0xbc8c...273f — Outcome 67693441, $4,209 (73% win rate)
- 0x59f4...c1f1 — Outcome 67693441, $4,200 (58% win rate)
Related Theses
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Real Madrid wins by exactly two
Covers 3 related markets
Tigers win a low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Rays dominate in a low-scoring win
Covers 3 related markets
