Part of: US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx
This US Open ATP prediction market covers the match between Karen Khachanov and Alexander Blockx, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026, at 11:30 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with $138,460 in tracked smart money and one recorded smart money signal.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $854,834.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Coordinated Khachanov whale flow
A large, coordinated Karen Khachanov position coincided with a 22-point price jump and includes a highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet, though substantial opposing Blockx flow warrants caution.
- Three wallets bought $139,404 of Khachanov, with entries as low as 62–63¢ before the price rose to 82¢.
- One participating wallet has won 94% of 186 resolved bets and is up $53,574 overall.
- The market saw a 156.8x volume spike and a 22-point daily jump, but 10 wallets also bought Blockx, making this a contested signal.
$139,404 on Karen Khachanov
Sharp money backs Blockx
A major volume spike brought $173,000 of coordinated Blockx buying, including a historically sharp 81% bettor, although substantial opposing Khachanov flow makes this a contested thesis.
- Seven wallets committed $173,000 to Alexander Blockx, including a bettor with an 81% win rate and $1.69 million in lifetime profit.
- The market saw a 326x historical volume spike, with Blockx bought around 35–37¢ despite currently implying only a 36% chance.
- The signal is contested: 10 wallets also bought $189,000 of Khachanov, so the trade carries meaningful opposing flow.
$173,405 on Alexander Blockx
Four-wallet Blockx buying cluster
Four wallets made a concentrated $73,707 bet on Alexander Blockx amid a 76.5x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated-flow signal despite the lead wallet's mediocre track record.
- Four wallets are aligned on Alexander Blockx, committing $73,707 to the underdog at roughly 37¢.
- Trading volume reached 76.5 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong interest before the match.
- The lead wallet is adding to an existing $167,568 Blockx position, though its 44% win rate makes this less compelling as a standalone bettor signal.
$62,000 on Alexander Blockx | Wallet win rate: 47%
Sharp bettor backs Blockx
A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is taking a fresh position on Alexander Blockx at 38%.
- This bettor wins 84% of 231 resolved trades and is up nearly $295,000 lifetime.
- Their average winning entry is 38%, yet they have beaten those implied odds by roughly 49%, indicating a strong long-term edge.
- The fresh $1,140 position backs Alexander Blockx at 38% despite the market pricing him as the underdog.
$1,140 on Alexander Blockx | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable bettor makes massive Khachanov buy
A $211,000 Khachanov buy created an extraordinary volume spike and came from a highly profitable, active bettor, though the wallet's historical edge is mixed.
- A single $211,000 bet accounts for nearly all recent volume and signals strong conviction on Khachanov.
- The bettor is up about $951,000 lifetime across 16 resolved markets, despite a middling 69% win rate.
- Khachanov is priced at 64¢ after a 3-point daily rise, with a liquid market and a tight 1-point spread.
$218,853 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable bettor makes massive Khachanov buy
A $211,000 Khachanov buy created an extraordinary volume spike and came from a highly profitable, active bettor, though the wallet's historical edge is mixed.
- A single $211,000 bet accounts for nearly all recent volume and signals strong conviction on Khachanov.
- The bettor is up about $951,000 lifetime across 16 resolved markets, despite a middling 69% win rate.
- Khachanov is priced at 64¢ after a 3-point daily rise, with a liquid market and a tight 1-point spread.
$211,303 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial trader backs Blockx
A highly experienced serial trader with $7.2M lifetime profit bought the 38% underdog amid a 147x historical volume spike.
- This bettor has won 66% of 29,089 resolved trades and is up $7.2 million lifetime.
- They bought Alexander Blockx at 38% while market activity surged to 147 times its historical average.
- The $1,621 position is a fresh underdog bet in a liquid tennis market, signaling meaningful conviction despite the market pricing Blockx as less likely.
$1,621 on Alexander Blockx | Wallet win rate: 66%
92% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable, 92% win-rate serial trader with a large sample placed a fresh $10,054 bet on Khachanov at 62%, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of trades across 379 resolved positions and is up $1.47 million.
- They placed a fresh $10,054 bet on Karen Khachanov at 62%, near the current market price.
- The wallet has traded 593 markets across 478 events, showing unusually broad and sustained activity.
$24,290 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable, 92% win-rate serial trader with a large sample placed a fresh $10,054 bet on Khachanov at 62%, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of trades across 379 resolved positions and is up $1.47 million.
- They placed a fresh $10,054 bet on Karen Khachanov at 62%, near the current market price.
- The wallet has traded 593 markets across 478 events, showing unusually broad and sustained activity.
$10,054 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 92%
Perfect-record bettor adds to Khachanov
A proven sports bettor with 183 straight wins and substantial profits is adding to an existing Khachanov position at 58 cents.
- This bettor has won 100% of 183 resolved trades and is up $168,743.
- The $2,400 purchase adds to an existing $4,138 Khachanov position, signaling continued conviction at 58 cents.
- The wallet trades across 106 markets and 96 events, showing a sustained, highly successful cross-market record.
$5,000 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 12324113, $309,022 (65% win rate)
- 0x9c68...247a — Outcome 12324113, $167,568 (47% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 12324113, $85,513 (58% win rate)
- 0x796f...00f6 — Outcome 12324113, $35,953 (64% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Outcome 12324113, $35,149 (54% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 12324113, $30,244 (81% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 12324113, $27,413
- 0x7568...2ce1 — Outcome 12324113, $23,810 (96% win rate)
- 0xc7b5...c3e3 — Outcome 12324113, $22,727 (91% win rate)
- 0xefc9...b337 — Outcome 12324113, $20,000 (68% win rate)
Related Theses
Belgium won't beat Egypt
Covers 3 related markets
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Covers 6 related markets
Argentina won’t win; others favored
Covers 7 related markets
Fed holds rates steady
Covers 2 related markets
Thunder win low-scoring rout
Covers 3 related markets
Thunder cover low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
No Iran peace deal
Covers 3 related markets
Knicks win low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs win close defensive game
Covers 3 related markets
France wins comfortably, clean sheet
Covers 3 related markets
