Part of: US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi
This Polymarket tennis market tracks whether Karen Khachanov or Benjamin Bonzi advances in their 2026 US Open ATP match, scheduled for September 4 at 11:00 AM ET. The market has $47,068 in tracked smart-money activity and one signal, with resolution based on the match outcome under the listed exchange rules.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,125.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettors back Bonzi at long odds
Four wallets committed $53.7K to Bonzi, including two highly profitable bettors with 86% and 96% win rates, despite the market moving sharply against them.
- Four wallets bought Benjamin Bonzi for $53,704, including bettors with 86% and 96% win rates across 543 resolved positions.
- The largest bettor added $44,807 around 36–38¢ despite Bonzi falling to 18%, signaling unusually strong conviction or a contrarian thesis.
- The market saw a 360x volume spike and a 17-point daily move, making this a high-conviction but high-risk position.
$53,704 on Benjamin Bonzi
Sharp bettor scales into Khachanov
A highly profitable serial trader with an 86% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $5,519 to an existing Khachanov position at 70%.
- This bettor wins 86% of 64 resolved positions and is up nearly $195,000.
- They have traded 76 markets across 66 events, showing a sustained and repeatable edge.
- The $5,519 purchase adds to an existing $7,893 Khachanov position, signaling increased conviction at 70¢.
$5,519 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 87%
91% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,902 wager on Khachanov.
- This bettor wins 91% of 436 resolved positions and is up $405,057 lifetime.
- Their 55% average winning entry price implies a substantial edge beyond simply backing favorites.
- The fresh $2,902 bet supports Khachanov at 66% in a liquid US Open match market.
$2,902 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 67039851, $285,960 (86% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 67039851, $61,776 (38% win rate)
- 0x464f...01b7 — Outcome 67039851, $40,040
- 0xad94...85b1 — Outcome 67039851, $12,907 (42% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 67039851, $8,833 (70% win rate)
- 0x0079...31c7 — Outcome 67039851, $6,059 (65% win rate)
- 0xf5a3...9e12 — Outcome 67039851, $5,714
- 0x9c3c...e8c9 — Outcome 67039851, $5,302 (95% win rate)
- 0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 67039851, $3,005 (95% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 67039851, $2,203 (86% win rate)
Related Theses
Fery beats Duckworth by two-plus games
Covers 3 related markets
Basavareddy wins in straight sets
Covers 2 related markets
Quentin Halys will win
Covers 1 related market
Botic van de Zandschulp wins
Covers 1 related market
Mariano Navone defeats Berrettini
Covers 1 related market
Alexander Blockx will win
Covers 1 related market
Luciano Darderi will win
Covers 1 related market
Botic will decisively beat Bonzi
Covers 2 related markets
Tommy Paul will beat Bublik
Covers 1 related market
Luca Van Assche wins
Covers 1 related market
