What is the Darderi vs Sweeny prediction market?

It is a tennis prediction market for the US Open ATP match between Luciano Darderi and Dane Sweeny. The outcome is based on which player advances.

What happens if Luciano Darderi advances?

The market resolves to “Luciano Darderi” if Darderi advances against Dane Sweeny.

What happens if Dane Sweeny advances?

The market resolves to “Dane Sweeny” if Sweeny advances against Luciano Darderi.

When is the Darderi vs Sweeny market scheduled to resolve?

The listed resolution date is September 11, 2026. The market rules also reference a September 18, 2026 deadline if the match is canceled, tied, or no winner has been determined.

What smart money activity is tracked for this market?

PolySpotter tracks $73,193 in smart money for this market across two signals. Recent alerts include a seven-wallet Darderi cluster, a profitable bettor ahead of a volume surge, and a serial trader buying Darderi.

Part of: US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny

US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny

This US Open ATP prediction market covers whether Luciano Darderi or Dane Sweeny advances in their scheduled September 4, 2026 match. The market has $73,193 in tracked smart money and two signals, including recent activity favoring Darderi; it is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026, subject to the exchange’s stated rules.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $80,589.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor ahead of volume surge

A highly profitable, extensively active bettor bought Darderi at 76 cents as the market saw an extreme 2,263x volume spike and moved eight points higher.

This bettor is up $3.54 million across 42,258 resolved trades, providing meaningful evidence of experience and profitability.
The $6,129 Darderi purchase coincided with a 2,263x spike versus the market's historical volume baseline.
Darderi has since risen from 76¢ to 84¢, corroborating the direction of the trade.

$6,129 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 55%

Seven-wallet linked Darderi cluster

Seven linked wallets deployed $67,064 on Darderi amid a 6,812x volume spike, with the market moving from roughly 76% to 82%.

Seven wallets tied to two funders put $67,064 behind Luciano Darderi, creating a strong coordinated signal.
The trade coincided with a 6,812x historical volume spike and a 7-point one-day price increase.
Several participating wallets have profitable long-term records, including one up $3.5M and another up $813K.

$67,064 on Luciano Darderi

Profitable serial trader buys Darderi

A highly profitable serial sports-market trader made a concentrated $7,396 purchase that accounts for virtually all recent volume, though the edge signal is moderate.

This bettor has won 65% of 51,956 resolved trades and earned $47.6 million in lifetime profit.
The $7,396 wager represents 99% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction on Luciano Darderi.
The trade buys Darderi at 76¢ in a relatively liquid market, so the signal is meaningful but not a clear bargain.

$7,396 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

0xdb85...152f — Outcome 71398233, $89,299 (88% win rate)
0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 71398233, $70,000 (88% win rate)
0xa50f...8e6f — Outcome 71398233, $11,665 (96% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 71398233, $5,675 (70% win rate)
0x5965...935f — Outcome 71398233, $4,561 (65% win rate)
0xafac...8730 — Outcome 71398233, $1,694 (76% win rate)
0xdc0c...218a — Outcome 71398233, $1,693 (84% win rate)
0x40f7...1f5e — Outcome 71398233, $1,500 (64% win rate)
0xd72b...c601 — Outcome 71398233, $1,465
0xbce5...02f1 — Outcome 71398233, $1,250 (50% win rate)

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US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny

ResolvedUS Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny$80,589 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Dane Sweeny in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Dane Sweeny. This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Luciano Darderi”

101¢

87¢

74¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction