Part of: US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $162,673.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Coordinated Navone surge

A large coordinated push toward Mariano Navone drove a 39-point price surge, with several proven profitable bettors participating, though much of the edge is already reflected at 89¢.

  • Twelve wallets committed about $78,000 to Mariano Navone, alongside a 73.8x volume spike and a 39-point price jump.
  • A tracked bettor wins 76% of 91 resolved bets while entering at an average 52¢, indicating meaningful historical edge.
  • The move is already heavily priced in at 89¢, so copying above 95¢ offers limited risk-adjusted value.

$48,473 on Mariano Navone

Sharp bettor adds to Djokovic

A proven 89% winning bettor added $3,500 to Djokovic amid a 314x volume spike, though the position is currently underwater and represents an existing holding.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 107 resolved trades and is up $45,337 lifetime.
  • They added $3,500 to Novak Djokovic at 75¢, increasing an existing position despite the price later falling to about 62¢.
  • Trading surged to 314 times its historical average, adding significance to the sharp bettor’s directional view.

$1,500 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor adds to Djokovic

A proven 89% winning bettor added $3,500 to Djokovic amid a 314x volume spike, though the position is currently underwater and represents an existing holding.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 107 resolved trades and is up $45,337 lifetime.
  • They added $3,500 to Novak Djokovic at 75¢, increasing an existing position despite the price later falling to about 62¢.
  • Trading surged to 314 times its historical average, adding significance to the sharp bettor’s directional view.

$2,300 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor adds to Djokovic

A proven 89% winning bettor added $3,500 to Djokovic amid a 314x volume spike, though the position is currently underwater and represents an existing holding.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 107 resolved trades and is up $45,337 lifetime.
  • They added $3,500 to Novak Djokovic at 75¢, increasing an existing position despite the price later falling to about 62¢.
  • Trading surged to 314 times its historical average, adding significance to the sharp bettor’s directional view.

$3,547 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor adds to Djokovic

A proven 89% winning bettor added $3,500 to Djokovic amid a 314x volume spike, though the position is currently underwater and represents an existing holding.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 107 resolved trades and is up $45,337 lifetime.
  • They added $3,500 to Novak Djokovic at 75¢, increasing an existing position despite the price later falling to about 62¢.
  • Trading surged to 314 times its historical average, adding significance to the sharp bettor’s directional view.

$3,500 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable new wallet scaling into Djokovic

A repeat new-wallet bettor with positive early returns is adding to Djokovic despite a major volume surge and a sharp price decline.

  • This six-day-old wallet is up $1,551 across nine positions and has repeated large-bet alerts three times.
  • The bettor is adding $2,000 to Djokovic at 75¢ despite already holding $2,667, signaling increased conviction.
  • Trading volume is running 314 times above its historical average, though Djokovic has since fallen to roughly 62¢.

$2,000 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable serial trader backs Djokovic

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a fresh $5.3K Djokovic position during a 33x market volume spike, though the signal is moderate rather than overwhelming.

  • This bettor has won 66% of nearly 50,000 resolved trades and earned $45.9M in profit.
  • A fresh $5,286 Djokovic purchase coincided with a 33x spike in historical market activity.
  • The trade was entered around 75¢, near fair current pricing, so the edge appears modest rather than a major mispricing.

$6,878 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial trader backs Djokovic

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a fresh $5.3K Djokovic position during a 33x market volume spike, though the signal is moderate rather than overwhelming.

  • This bettor has won 66% of nearly 50,000 resolved trades and earned $45.9M in profit.
  • A fresh $5,286 Djokovic purchase coincided with a 33x spike in historical market activity.
  • The trade was entered around 75¢, near fair current pricing, so the edge appears modest rather than a major mispricing.

$5,286 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 65%

Serial 86% winner exits Djokovic

A highly active 86% winner sold Djokovic into a 70x volume spike, though the trade appears to close an existing position rather than establish a fresh Navone thesis.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 541 resolved trades across 323 events.
  • The sale occurred during a 70x historical volume spike, while Djokovic’s odds later fell from roughly 88% to 78%.
  • The position was previously held at 92%, so this looks more like a timely exit than a clean new bet on Navone.

$1,942 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 87%

89% winner scaling into Djokovic

A highly profitable serial trader with an 89% win rate is adding $12,325 to an existing Djokovic position amid a 258x volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of 207 resolved trades and is up $72,276 lifetime.
  • They added $12,325 to an existing Djokovic position, bringing total exposure to at least $26,825.
  • The trade coincided with a 258x historical volume spike, while Djokovic has moved from 85¢ to 88¢.

$12,325 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 76785536, $149,887 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x6485...a265 Outcome 76785536, $36,457 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x05e3...4b87 Outcome 76785536, $11,000 (98% win rate)
  4. 0x565c...878d Outcome 76785536, $10,833 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x49e0...9af1 Outcome 76785536, $10,470 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x1d60...453d Outcome 76785536, $10,256 (76% win rate)
  7. 0x698b...4426 Outcome 76785536, $8,793 (55% win rate)
  8. 0x74ab...ee2b Outcome 76785536, $5,593 (89% win rate)
  9. 0xec98...afcd Outcome 76785536, $5,310 (59% win rate)
  10. 0xb3cf...0ebd Outcome 76785536, $5,081 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Real Madrid wins by exactly two

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rays dominate in a low-scoring win

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

ResolvedUS Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic$162,673 tracked13 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Novak Djokovic in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Novak Djokovic. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Novak Djokovic
86¢
70¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$48,473 on Mariano Navone at 89¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$1,500 on Novak Djokovic at 75¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$2,300 on Novak Djokovic at 75¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$3,547 on Novak Djokovic at 75¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$3,500 on Novak Djokovic at 75¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$2,000 on Novak Djokovic at 75¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$6,878 on Novak Djokovic at 75¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$5,286 on Novak Djokovic at 75¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$1,942 on Mariano Navone at 12¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$12,325 on Novak Djokovic at 85¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$67,333 on Novak Djokovic at 64¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$5,040 on Novak Djokovic at 84¢

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

11d ago

$2,550 on Novak Djokovic at 85¢

Related Theses