Part of: US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Roman Safiullin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,954.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Elite bettor backs Alcaraz

A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and $3.3 million profit made a nearly $29,300 purchase of Carlos Alcaraz amid a 98.6x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 1,979 resolved positions and is up $3.32 million.
  • They committed nearly $29,300 to Carlos Alcaraz at 81¢, close to the current 82¢ odds.
  • Trading volume was 98.6 times its historical average, adding support to the position.

$4,500 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 91%

Elite bettor backs Alcaraz

A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and $3.3 million profit made a nearly $29,300 purchase of Carlos Alcaraz amid a 98.6x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 1,979 resolved positions and is up $3.32 million.
  • They committed nearly $29,300 to Carlos Alcaraz at 81¢, close to the current 82¢ odds.
  • Trading volume was 98.6 times its historical average, adding support to the position.

$1,121 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 91%

Elite bettor backs Alcaraz

A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and $3.3 million profit made a nearly $29,300 purchase of Carlos Alcaraz amid a 98.6x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 1,979 resolved positions and is up $3.32 million.
  • They committed nearly $29,300 to Carlos Alcaraz at 81¢, close to the current 82¢ odds.
  • Trading volume was 98.6 times its historical average, adding support to the position.

$1,571 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 91%

Elite bettor backs Alcaraz

A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and $3.3 million profit made a nearly $29,300 purchase of Carlos Alcaraz amid a 98.6x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 1,979 resolved positions and is up $3.32 million.
  • They committed nearly $29,300 to Carlos Alcaraz at 81¢, close to the current 82¢ odds.
  • Trading volume was 98.6 times its historical average, adding support to the position.

$29,295 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 91%

98% winner adds to Alcaraz

A highly successful serial trader with a 98% win rate is adding $2,199 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position at 80¢.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 394 resolved trades and is up $323,877 lifetime.
  • The $2,199 purchase adds to an existing $2,748 Alcaraz position, signaling continued conviction rather than a routine new bet.
  • The 80¢ entry is below the market’s current 82% estimate, implying a favorable price if the bettor’s edge persists.

$2,199 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 98%

94% win-rate tennis bettor backs Alcaraz

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying Alcaraz at 80% in a liquid match market.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 2,190 resolved positions and is up $1.06 million.
  • The wallet has historically beaten implied odds by 34 percentage points, indicating a substantial edge beyond simply backing favorites.
  • A serial trader active across 432 events is making a fresh $2,863 bet on Carlos Alcaraz at 80%.

$2,863 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp bettor scaling into Alcaraz

A proven, profitable bettor with a 74% win rate is adding another $16,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 74% of 246 resolved trades and is up $358,781 lifetime.
  • The new $16,000 purchase increases an existing $20,000 Alcaraz position, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • The 80¢ entry implies the bettor views Alcaraz as a strong favorite despite the market already pricing him at 80%.

$1,004 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp bettor scaling into Alcaraz

A proven, profitable bettor with a 74% win rate is adding another $16,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 74% of 246 resolved trades and is up $358,781 lifetime.
  • The new $16,000 purchase increases an existing $20,000 Alcaraz position, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • The 80¢ entry implies the bettor views Alcaraz as a strong favorite despite the market already pricing him at 80%.

$2,401 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp bettor scaling into Alcaraz

A proven, profitable bettor with a 74% win rate is adding another $16,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 74% of 246 resolved trades and is up $358,781 lifetime.
  • The new $16,000 purchase increases an existing $20,000 Alcaraz position, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • The 80¢ entry implies the bettor views Alcaraz as a strong favorite despite the market already pricing him at 80%.

$4,000 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp bettor scaling into Alcaraz

A proven, profitable bettor with a 74% win rate is adding another $16,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 74% of 246 resolved trades and is up $358,781 lifetime.
  • The new $16,000 purchase increases an existing $20,000 Alcaraz position, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • The 80¢ entry implies the bettor views Alcaraz as a strong favorite despite the market already pricing him at 80%.

$16,000 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc430...1ebf — Roman Safiullin, $143,955 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x3970...44ce — Roman Safiullin, $72,952 (89% win rate)
  3. 0x088b...21cc — Roman Safiullin, $29,805 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x2a69...d2f7 — Roman Safiullin, $25,009 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x90af...b6cf — Roman Safiullin, $22,674 (75% win rate)
  6. 0x32b4...8b21 — Roman Safiullin, $18,986 (58% win rate)
  7. 0xacf8...e791 — Roman Safiullin, $8,462 (71% win rate)
  8. 0xb242...4312 — Roman Safiullin, $6,920 (59% win rate)
  9. 0x33c9...6f9a — Roman Safiullin, $5,751 (82% win rate)
  10. 0x1b8f...cca7 — Roman Safiullin, $5,703 (67% win rate)

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US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz$64,954 tracked10 signalsTennisSportsGames
Roman Safiullin
0¢
Carlos Alcaraz
100¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Roman Safiullin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

2026-08-31 17:06 UTC

$4,500 on Carlos Alcaraz at 81¢

81¢→100¢↑19¢

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

2026-08-31 16:18 UTC

$1,121 on Carlos Alcaraz at 81¢

81¢→100¢↑19¢

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

2026-08-31 15:41 UTC

$1,571 on Carlos Alcaraz at 81¢

81¢→100¢↑19¢

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

2026-08-31 15:14 UTC

$29,295 on Carlos Alcaraz at 81¢

81¢→100¢↑19¢

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

2026-08-31 15:14 UTC

$2,199 on Carlos Alcaraz at 80¢

80¢→100¢↑20¢

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

2026-08-31 14:45 UTC

$2,863 on Carlos Alcaraz at 80¢

80¢→100¢↑20¢

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

2026-08-31 13:50 UTC

$1,004 on Carlos Alcaraz at 80¢

80¢→100¢↑20¢

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

2026-08-31 03:45 UTC

$2,401 on Carlos Alcaraz at 80¢

80¢→100¢↑20¢

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

2026-08-31 03:12 UTC

$4,000 on Carlos Alcaraz at 80¢

80¢→100¢↑20¢

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

2026-08-31 02:57 UTC

$16,000 on Carlos Alcaraz at 80¢

80¢→100¢↑20¢

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