Part of: US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori
This prediction market covers the US Open qualifying match between Sebastian Ofner and Kei Nishikori, scheduled for August 25, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances; the market currently includes $103,979 in tracked smart money and signals from high-win-rate tennis bettors.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $139,629.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
98% win-rate bettor adds to Nishikori
An exceptionally successful bettor with a 98% win rate and 47-point edge over implied odds is adding $7,207 to Kei Nishikori at 51%.
- This bettor has won 65 of 66 resolved positions and is up $316,270 lifetime.
- They are adding $7,207 to an existing Nishikori position at 51%, showing increased conviction.
- Their historical entries average 52% while they win 98% of the time, indicating a substantial edge.
$2,903 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 97%
New whale scaling into Nishikori
A brand-new wallet has committed over $100,000 to Nishikori while a 371x volume spike drove the market sharply higher, signaling unusually strong conviction despite no proven track record.
- A 19-hour-old wallet bought $101,076 of Kei Nishikori and already had $148,894 invested at an average of 73¢.
- The market saw a 371x historical volume spike as Nishikori's odds climbed to 84%.
- The position was built around 65–73¢, implying the bettor saw meaningful value before the sharp repricing.
$101,076 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 100%
84% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,768 bet on Sebastian Ofner at even odds.
- This bettor has won 84% of 393 resolved positions and is up $1.79 million lifetime.
- The wallet reportedly beats its average implied odds by 38%, making a fresh $2,768 bet at 50¢ notable.
- The trade backs Sebastian Ofner at even odds, with recent market pricing already up 3.5% in one day.
$4,778 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 84%
84% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,768 bet on Sebastian Ofner at even odds.
- This bettor has won 84% of 393 resolved positions and is up $1.79 million lifetime.
- The wallet reportedly beats its average implied odds by 38%, making a fresh $2,768 bet at 50¢ notable.
- The trade backs Sebastian Ofner at even odds, with recent market pricing already up 3.5% in one day.
$2,186 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 84%
98% win-rate bettor adds to Nishikori
An exceptionally successful bettor with a 98% win rate and 47-point edge over implied odds is adding $7,207 to Kei Nishikori at 51%.
- This bettor has won 65 of 66 resolved positions and is up $316,270 lifetime.
- They are adding $7,207 to an existing Nishikori position at 51%, showing increased conviction.
- Their historical entries average 52% while they win 98% of the time, indicating a substantial edge.
$1,962 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 97%
93% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $3,085 wager at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 179 of 193 resolved positions, earning $6.33M in profit while averaging 49¢ entries.
- The $3,085 bet on Sebastian Ofner is fresh conviction at 49¢, implying a roughly 2x payout if correct.
- They have traded across 44 markets and 41 events, showing a sustained cross-market betting pattern rather than a one-off result.
$4,557 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 93%
93% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $3,085 wager at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 179 of 193 resolved positions, earning $6.33M in profit while averaging 49¢ entries.
- The $3,085 bet on Sebastian Ofner is fresh conviction at 49¢, implying a roughly 2x payout if correct.
- They have traded across 44 markets and 41 events, showing a sustained cross-market betting pattern rather than a one-off result.
$3,085 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 93%
84% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,768 bet on Sebastian Ofner at even odds.
- This bettor has won 84% of 393 resolved positions and is up $1.79 million lifetime.
- The wallet reportedly beats its average implied odds by 38%, making a fresh $2,768 bet at 50¢ notable.
- The trade backs Sebastian Ofner at even odds, with recent market pricing already up 3.5% in one day.
$2,450 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 84%
97% win-rate bettor adds to Kei
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 97% win rate and 46-point edge is adding to an existing Kei Nishikori position at 52%.
- This bettor has won 208 of 215 resolved trades and is up $270,985.
- The wallet historically buys at an average 51% price while winning 97% of bets, indicating an exceptional edge.
- A further $2,453 was added to an existing $4,717 Kei Nishikori position at 52%, signaling increased conviction.
$2,453 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 97%
98% win-rate bettor adds to Nishikori
An exceptionally successful bettor with a 98% win rate and 47-point edge over implied odds is adding $7,207 to Kei Nishikori at 51%.
- This bettor has won 65 of 66 resolved positions and is up $316,270 lifetime.
- They are adding $7,207 to an existing Nishikori position at 51%, showing increased conviction.
- Their historical entries average 52% while they win 98% of the time, indicating a substantial edge.
$7,207 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 75547044, $44,468 (84% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 75547044, $24,074 (94% win rate)
- 0x5877...d894 — Outcome 75547044, $17,391 (93% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 75547044, $6,584 (57% win rate)
- 0x620b...2e9f — Outcome 75547044, $6,528
- 0x6e9f...0eae — Outcome 75547044, $6,271 (100% win rate)
- 0xcab7...a870 — Outcome 75547044, $4,108
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 75547044, $4,081 (80% win rate)
- 0x1c38...1bfa — Outcome 75547044, $2,447 (85% win rate)
- 0xc144...c809 — Outcome 75547044, $2,414 (73% win rate)
Related Theses
Falcons sweep Vitality
Covers 3 related markets
Safiullin beats Fonseca
Covers 1 related market
Marozsan will defeat Kecmanovic
Covers 1 related market
France will win on July 18
Covers 1 related market
Marozsan will beat Kecmanovic
Covers 1 related market
Mannarino will beat Sonego
Covers 1 related market
EDward Gaming covers the spread
Covers 1 related market
Dodgers will beat the Braves
Covers 1 related market
Musetti will beat Zheng
Covers 1 related market
Basilashvili will beat Hong
Covers 1 related market
