Part of: US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Ofner and Kei Nishikori in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Kei Nishikori. This market will resolve to 'Kei Nishikori' if Kei Nishikori advances against Sebastian Ofner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $139,629.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
98% win-rate bettor adds to Nishikori
An exceptionally successful bettor with a 98% win rate and 47-point edge over implied odds is adding $7,207 to Kei Nishikori at 51%.
- This bettor has won 65 of 66 resolved positions and is up $316,270 lifetime.
- They are adding $7,207 to an existing Nishikori position at 51%, showing increased conviction.
- Their historical entries average 52% while they win 98% of the time, indicating a substantial edge.
$2,903 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 96%
New whale scaling into Nishikori
A brand-new wallet has committed over $100,000 to Nishikori while a 371x volume spike drove the market sharply higher, signaling unusually strong conviction despite no proven track record.
- A 19-hour-old wallet bought $101,076 of Kei Nishikori and already had $148,894 invested at an average of 73¢.
- The market saw a 371x historical volume spike as Nishikori's odds climbed to 84%.
- The position was built around 65–73¢, implying the bettor saw meaningful value before the sharp repricing.
$101,076 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 100%
84% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,768 bet on Sebastian Ofner at even odds.
- This bettor has won 84% of 393 resolved positions and is up $1.79 million lifetime.
- The wallet reportedly beats its average implied odds by 38%, making a fresh $2,768 bet at 50¢ notable.
- The trade backs Sebastian Ofner at even odds, with recent market pricing already up 3.5% in one day.
$4,778 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 84%
84% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,768 bet on Sebastian Ofner at even odds.
- This bettor has won 84% of 393 resolved positions and is up $1.79 million lifetime.
- The wallet reportedly beats its average implied odds by 38%, making a fresh $2,768 bet at 50¢ notable.
- The trade backs Sebastian Ofner at even odds, with recent market pricing already up 3.5% in one day.
$2,186 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 84%
98% win-rate bettor adds to Nishikori
An exceptionally successful bettor with a 98% win rate and 47-point edge over implied odds is adding $7,207 to Kei Nishikori at 51%.
- This bettor has won 65 of 66 resolved positions and is up $316,270 lifetime.
- They are adding $7,207 to an existing Nishikori position at 51%, showing increased conviction.
- Their historical entries average 52% while they win 98% of the time, indicating a substantial edge.
$1,962 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 96%
93% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $3,085 wager at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 179 of 193 resolved positions, earning $6.33M in profit while averaging 49¢ entries.
- The $3,085 bet on Sebastian Ofner is fresh conviction at 49¢, implying a roughly 2x payout if correct.
- They have traded across 44 markets and 41 events, showing a sustained cross-market betting pattern rather than a one-off result.
$4,557 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 93%
93% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $3,085 wager at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 179 of 193 resolved positions, earning $6.33M in profit while averaging 49¢ entries.
- The $3,085 bet on Sebastian Ofner is fresh conviction at 49¢, implying a roughly 2x payout if correct.
- They have traded across 44 markets and 41 events, showing a sustained cross-market betting pattern rather than a one-off result.
$3,085 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 93%
84% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,768 bet on Sebastian Ofner at even odds.
- This bettor has won 84% of 393 resolved positions and is up $1.79 million lifetime.
- The wallet reportedly beats its average implied odds by 38%, making a fresh $2,768 bet at 50¢ notable.
- The trade backs Sebastian Ofner at even odds, with recent market pricing already up 3.5% in one day.
$2,450 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 84%
97% win-rate bettor adds to Kei
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 97% win rate and 46-point edge is adding to an existing Kei Nishikori position at 52%.
- This bettor has won 208 of 215 resolved trades and is up $270,985.
- The wallet historically buys at an average 51% price while winning 97% of bets, indicating an exceptional edge.
- A further $2,453 was added to an existing $4,717 Kei Nishikori position at 52%, signaling increased conviction.
$2,453 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 98%
98% win-rate bettor adds to Nishikori
An exceptionally successful bettor with a 98% win rate and 47-point edge over implied odds is adding $7,207 to Kei Nishikori at 51%.
- This bettor has won 65 of 66 resolved positions and is up $316,270 lifetime.
- They are adding $7,207 to an existing Nishikori position at 51%, showing increased conviction.
- Their historical entries average 52% while they win 98% of the time, indicating a substantial edge.
$7,207 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0xf377...4159 — Sebastian Ofner, $44,468 (84% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Sebastian Ofner, $24,074 (93% win rate)
- 0x5877...d894 — Sebastian Ofner, $17,391 (93% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Sebastian Ofner, $6,584 (58% win rate)
- 0x620b...2e9f — Sebastian Ofner, $6,528 (92% win rate)
- 0x6e9f...0eae — Sebastian Ofner, $6,271 (99% win rate)
- 0xcab7...a870 — Sebastian Ofner, $4,108
- 0x160b...4296 — Sebastian Ofner, $4,081 (80% win rate)
- 0x1c38...1bfa — Sebastian Ofner, $2,447 (86% win rate)
- 0xc144...c809 — Sebastian Ofner, $2,414 (73% win rate)
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