Part of: US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbausch
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbausch
This prediction market covers the US Open ATP qualifying match between Vilius Gaubas and Kilian Feldbausch, scheduled for August 24, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; the market has tracked $1,450 in smart money and includes signals backing both competitors. If the match is canceled, tied, or unresolved by September 7, 2026, the stated market rules apply.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,610.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scaling into Gaubas
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge added to an existing Gaubas position at 58%, well below the current 76% market price.
- This bettor wins 80% of 143 resolved trades and is up $21,926, while buying at average odds of 61%.
- The wallet added $1,450 to an existing Gaubas position at 58%; the market is now priced around 76%.
- This is a serial cross-market trader active across 43 events and 45 markets, providing a meaningful track record beyond this match.
$1,450 on Vilius Gaubas | Wallet win rate: 81%
Elite bettor backs Feldbausch
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a large fresh bet on Kilian Feldbausch at 40%.
- This bettor wins 90% of trades across 283 resolved positions and is up $8.0M.
- They invested $9,487 on Kilian Feldbausch at 40%, while the market has since moved to 60%.
- The wallet has traded 857 markets across 813 events, indicating extensive and repeatable activity rather than a one-off bet.
$9,487 on Kilian Feldbausch | Wallet win rate: 90%
Serial bettor with proven edge
A highly experienced serial trader with a 71% win rate bought Kilian Feldbausch at 42%, and the price has since risen to 60%.
- This bettor wins 71% of 389 resolved trades and is up $233,705 lifetime.
- They bought Kilian Feldbausch at 42%, with the market now pricing the outcome near 60%.
- The $1,250 position was large relative to the detected $74 in recent activity, signaling meaningful conviction.
$1,250 on Kilian Feldbausch | Wallet win rate: 71%
Perfect-record bettor scaling into Kilian
A highly successful serial trader with 60 wins from 60 resolved positions is adding $3,000 to an already substantial Kilian Feldbausch position in an extremely thin market.
- This bettor has won 100% of 60 resolved positions and is up $143,626.
- They added $3,000 to Kilian Feldbausch at 47¢, bringing their existing investment above $9,000.
- The trade was more than 40 times the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
$3,000 on Kilian Feldbausch | Wallet win rate: 100%
Serial tennis bettor adds to Feldbausch
A proven serial sports bettor is adding a $1,423 position in a very thin tennis market, despite only modestly favorable historical performance versus entry prices.
- This bettor has won 73% of 142 resolved trades and is up $23,255 lifetime.
- The $1,423 buy was over 19 times the market’s 24-hour volume in a quiet qualification match.
- This adds to an existing $2,909 Feldbausch position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.
$1,423 on Kilian Feldbausch | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 86494782, $48,133 (65% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 86494782, $23,717 (90% win rate)
- 0xf3a1...bf4b — Outcome 86494782, $20,833 (97% win rate)
- 0xd0ec...b533 — Outcome 86494782, $9,560
- 0xc83d...cea5 — Outcome 86494782, $9,520
- 0xb7ab...a2d1 — Outcome 86494782, $6,359 (100% win rate)
- 0xe116...6850 — Outcome 86494782, $4,760
- 0x481d...9098 — Outcome 86494782, $3,604 (61% win rate)
- 0x1680...490d — Outcome 86494782, $2,885 (74% win rate)
- 0x8125...9b7c — Outcome 86494782, $2,860
Related Theses
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Covers 5 related markets
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Covers 3 related markets
Norway advances in goalfest
Covers 3 related markets
USA Australia goalfest starts early
Covers 3 related markets
Berrettini beats Fils at Wimbledon
Covers 1 related market
Ann Li beats Alexandrova
Covers 1 related market
