Part of: US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez
This prediction market covers the US Open WTA match between Jessica Pegula and Leylah Fernandez, scheduled for September 4, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, while the exchange rules cover canceled or unresolved matches; the market has recorded $2,150 in tracked smart money across two signals.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $113,891.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor in 25-wallet Pegula surge
A proven 89% winner bought Pegula at 55 cents amid a 25-wallet one-sided surge before the price reached 100%.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades, with $219,179 in lifetime profit.
- Twenty-five wallets bought Jessica Pegula for a combined $132,214, signaling strong coordinated conviction.
- The 55¢ entry implied substantial upside, and the market later moved to 100%; prior Pegula buying suggests reinforced conviction.
$1,100 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 89%
95% winner joins 25-wallet surge
A highly profitable serial bettor joined a 25-wallet one-sided surge on Pegula at 73%, though the market has since moved to 100%.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades, with nearly $79,000 in lifetime profit.
- Twenty-five wallets bought Jessica Pegula in the same direction, totaling $132,214.
- The entry was 73%, but Pegula is now priced at 100%, so the original value is no longer available.
$1,050 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 95%
83% winner adds to Pegula
A highly experienced 83% winner added to Pegula during an extreme 1,377x volume spike, making this a notable but already partially established position.
- This bettor has won 83% of 200 resolved trades and earned $127,264.
- The $2,500 purchase came during a 1,377x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong market interest.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Pegula position rather than making a first entry, while the market has since moved below its 71¢ purchase price.
$1,307 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 84%
Four-wallet Fernandez conviction cluster
Four wallets added $51.5K to Leylah Fernandez amid a 195x volume spike, including a highly profitable 85% winner, though much of the flow increases existing positions.
- Four wallets bought $51,543 of Leylah Fernandez, with the market moving from roughly 33% to 44% for her.
- One participating bettor wins 85% of 1,014 resolved bets and is up $271,116 overall.
- The buying arrived during a 195x historical volume spike, although several wallets were adding to existing Fernandez positions.
$36,341 on Leylah Fernandez
94% winner adds to Pegula
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $10,000 to Pegula amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 94% of 69 resolved positions and earned $114,407 in profit.
- They added $10,000 to Jessica Pegula, increasing an existing position rather than making a one-off wager.
- Trading volume surged 1,378 times above its historical average while Pegula remains the selected side.
$10,000 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 96%
83% winner adds to Pegula
A highly experienced 83% winner added to Pegula during an extreme 1,377x volume spike, making this a notable but already partially established position.
- This bettor has won 83% of 200 resolved trades and earned $127,264.
- The $2,500 purchase came during a 1,377x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong market interest.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Pegula position rather than making a first entry, while the market has since moved below its 71¢ purchase price.
$2,500 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 84%
Serial bettor scales into Pegula
A serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate added $43,260 to an already large Pegula position, creating notable concentration despite limited evidence of odds-adjusted edge.
- A bettor with 204 wins in 224 resolved markets committed another $43,260 to Pegula at 84¢.
- This adds to an existing $51,509 Pegula position, showing unusually strong one-sided conviction.
- The trade represented over 1,150% of the detected 24-hour market volume, though the bettor’s average winning entry price is higher at 92¢.
$43,260 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 89%
Serial whale backs Pegula
A highly experienced, profitable trader placed an $18.3K Pegula bet equal to more than five times the market's 24-hour volume, making this a notable conviction signal despite limited evidence of a strong pricing edge.
- This trader has placed over 51,000 resolved bets and is up $47.2M lifetime.
- The $18,333 Pegula position is more than five times the market's 24-hour volume.
- Pegula was bought at 84¢, so the trade reflects strong confidence in an already favored outcome.
$18,333 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 23423156, $90,226 (49% win rate)
- 0x5877...d894 — Outcome 23423156, $31,072 (93% win rate)
- 0x9a8c...ba13 — Outcome 23423156, $13,201 (68% win rate)
- 0x90af...b6cf — Outcome 23423156, $11,506 (75% win rate)
- 0x2978...b511 — Outcome 23423156, $10,873 (45% win rate)
- 0xe394...289c — Outcome 23423156, $10,052 (85% win rate)
- 0xfbf3...b218 — Outcome 23423156, $8,162 (46% win rate)
- 0x461d...db9e — Outcome 23423156, $5,850 (84% win rate)
- 0xc357...3684 — Outcome 23423156, $5,082
- 0x3e04...564d — Outcome 23423156, $4,744 (84% win rate)
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