Part of: US Open WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens

US Open WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,523.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Linked wallets back Mertens

Three linked wallets placed $6,419 on Elise Mertens, including a serial cross-market trader with an 83% win rate, before the price rose from 72-75% to 86%.

  • Three linked wallets bought Elise Mertens for $6,419, creating concentrated one-sided conviction.
  • One participant has an 83% win rate across 197 resolved bets and has traded 143 events.
  • The group entered around 72-75% before Mertens rose to 86%, though the original price advantage has largely narrowed.

$6,419 on Elise Mertens

Proven bettor makes thin-market whale bet

A highly profitable, extensively active bettor placed a concentrated $13.1K bet on Elise Mertens in a thin market, though the entry is close to prevailing fair value.

  • This bettor is up $47.1M across more than 51,000 resolved trades, with a 66% win rate.
  • The $13.1K Elise Mertens bet was nearly 40 times the recent 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a quiet market.
  • The 75¢ entry offers limited apparent mispricing, so the trade is worth monitoring but copying only up to 85¢.

$13,104 on Elise Mertens | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 11325762, $29,579 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 11325762, $16,256 (60% win rate)
  3. 0xfb07...e2cc Outcome 11325762, $8,450
  4. 0x5b62...d87f Outcome 11325762, $3,000 (81% win rate)
  5. 0x5213...6a35 Outcome 11325762, $2,500 (74% win rate)
  6. 0xeaac...d71d Outcome 11325762, $2,500 (82% win rate)
  7. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 11325762, $2,142
  8. 0x0079...31c7 Outcome 11325762, $2,000 (65% win rate)
  9. 0xd619...c461 Outcome 11325762, $1,000
  10. 0x4818...fde0 Outcome 11325762, $800 (57% win rate)

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US Open WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens

ResolvedUS Open WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens$19,523 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Elise Mertens in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Maria Timofeeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Elise Mertens
91¢
81¢
71¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US Open WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens

8d ago

$6,419 on Elise Mertens at 74¢

US Open WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Elise Mertens

8d ago

$13,104 on Elise Mertens at 75¢

Related Theses