Vacherot vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5
This Polymarket tracks whether Valentin Vacherot vs. Alex de Minaur in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters will finish over or under 21.5 total games. It resolves to Over if the match reaches at least 22 games across all sets, with tiebreaks counting as one game, and otherwise resolves to Under. The market is scheduled around the April 10, 2026 match and resolves by April 17, 2026, with recent smart money activity noting a sharp bettor flip to the Under.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Alex de Minaur in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 10 2026. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,180.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor flips to Under
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 71% win rate just exited Over by effectively buying Under at 49¢ in a relatively thin market, making this worth surfacing despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor wins 71% of 620 resolved markets and is up about $286k lifetime
- Their sell of Over at 51¢ is equivalent to buying Under at 49¢, a clear directional view
- The bet was large for this market's depth at about $2.2k against roughly $4.8k liquidity
$2,180 on Under | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x996a...e3cc — Over, $6,380 (100% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Under, $3,909 (53% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Under, $2,033 (68% win rate)
- 0x4afb...ed2b — Under, $1,988 (34% win rate)
- 0x6b45...d196 — Over, $604
- 0xcd8c...f75a — Over, $426
- 0x4738...4687 — Over, $426
- 0xa2ca...9107 — Over, $321
- 0xb4d0...a1c5 — Under, $296 (46% win rate)
- 0x8929...733e — Under, $293
