When does the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by May 21, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, assuming the match is played and an advancing player is determined within the market rules.

What happens if the Carabelli vs Berrettini match is canceled or delayed?

If the match is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the original scheduled date without being completed, the market will resolve according to the cancellation and delay rules stated in the market description.

How much smart money is tracked on this match?

PolySpotter is tracking $4,702 in smart money on the Carabelli vs Berrettini Valencia market, with 2 smart money signals detected.

What do the smart money alerts suggest for this tennis market?

Recent alerts include a profitable trader buying the dip, a 95% win-rate tennis sharp, and a whale backing the favorite. These signals highlight notable trader activity but do not guarantee the match outcome.

Part of: Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini

Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini

Q: What is the Carabelli vs Berrettini Polymarket about?

This market predicts which player will advance from the Valencia match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Matteo Berrettini. It resolves to Carabelli if he advances, or Berrettini if he advances.

This prediction market covers who will advance in the Valencia tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Matteo Berrettini, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 21, 2026 if the match is played within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $4,702 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from high win-rate tennis and sports traders.

This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Matteo Berrettini in the Valencia, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Matteo Berrettini. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,054.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable veteran buys dip

A highly experienced, lifetime-profitable bettor is taking a contrarian Berrettini position after a sharp price collapse.

This bettor is up $2.4M lifetime across 28,586 resolved bets.
They bought Berrettini at 31¢ after his odds fell about 14 points in 4 minutes.
This is a contrarian buy after a major selloff, with the market now pricing Berrettini near 30%.

$1,702 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 55%

93% winner driving move

Sharp 93% win-rate tennis bettor bought Camilo Ugo Carabelli amid a major pre-event volume spike and 26-point price move.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $31k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events with the same 93% hit rate.
The market saw a 184x volume spike and Camilo’s price jumped 26 points, suggesting strong momentum behind this side.

$3,000 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 93%

95% win-rate tennis sharp

Sharp tennis bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and strong profit is buying Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 41¢ despite the market pricing him as the underdog.

This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved bets and is up $34,277 lifetime.
They are buying the 41¢ underdog, implying a strong view that the market is underrating Carabelli.
Their past wins came around 51¢ average odds, so the track record is not just from taking heavy favorites.

$2,019 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 95%

Fresh whale backing favorite

A brand-new wallet made a nearly $30k Berrettini buy, its second large flagged bet within minutes, alongside rapid market movement.

A wallet created about 10 minutes earlier put nearly $30k on Berrettini.
This is already its second large flagged bet, totaling about $38k in activity.
The bet hit a tennis market with $84k daily volume, so the sizing shows meaningful conviction.

$29,898 on Matteo Berrettini

Profitable serial sports trader

Serial cross-market sports trader with a massive 20,700-bet history and positive lifetime P&L bought Carabelli at 44%.

This bettor has a huge track record: 20,700 resolved bets, a 71% win rate, and $162k lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 271 events with over $1.0M in flagged cross-market volume.
Entry at 44¢ suggests they see Carabelli as underpriced despite the market now sitting around 42¢.

$1,725 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable trader buying dip

Three wallets are buying Camilo Ugo Carabelli during a sharp price drop, including a highly active profitable sports/event trader and a new repeat wallet already up $2.6k.

A very active bettor with 20,700 resolved trades and $162k lifetime profit is on this side.
Three wallets bought the same player for $5.45k as the price fell from 64¢ to 42¢.
One new 6-day-old wallet is already up $2.6k and has been repeatedly flagged for large bets.

$5,450 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli

New profitable tennis bettor

A 6-day-old repeat large bettor with early profitability is buying Camilo Ugo Carabelli despite the market moving against their 64¢ entry.

This new wallet is already up $2.6K with 3 wins from 3 resolved bets.
They have been flagged 3 times for large bets, with $4.9K total in recent conviction trades.
Entry at 64¢ is well above the current 52¢ market price, suggesting a strong view on Carabelli.

$1,678 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven sports bettor buying

Proven high-volume sports trader with 73% wins and +$331k lifetime P&L is buying Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 54¢.

This bettor has won 73% of 659 resolved bets and is up $331k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.7M placed across 407 events.
Entry at 54¢ suggests they see Camilo Ugo Carabelli as meaningfully more likely than the market implies.

$1,250 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial sports trader

Serial cross-market sports trader with a 79% win rate and nearly $394k profit bought Matteo Berrettini at 58¢.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $394k lifetime.
They have traded across 677 events with $3.46M in flagged cross-market volume.
Entry at 58¢ implies they see Berrettini as mispriced despite a fairly liquid market.

$2,562 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp 83% sports bettor

Sharp tennis bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 43¢.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $50,253 lifetime.
They have a long cross-market sports history: 32 events traded with the same 83% win rate.
The $1,771 buy was large for this market’s recent activity, equal to 74% of reported 24h volume.

$1,771 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 83%