Part of: Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic

This Polymarket-style prediction market covers who will advance in the Valencia tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Miomir Kecmanovic, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. The market resolves by May 22, 2026, with $3,000 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal currently identified by PolySpotter.

This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Valencia, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,047.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a large resolved sample and positive lifetime P&L bought $3,000 of the tennis favorite at 85¢.

  • This bettor has a strong track record: 64% wins across 618 resolved bets and is up $20.7k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $109k deployed across 33 prior events.
  • A $3,000 buy at 85¢ backs the heavy favorite and aligns with the market’s current 84% price.

$3,000 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 64%

83% serial sports sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Miomir Kecmanovic at 61%, ahead of the market now at 66%.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $21.8K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 92 events with the same 83% hit rate, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 61¢ is already moving in their favor, with the market now around 66¢.

$3,470 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 83%

83% winner backs underdog

Sharp tennis bettor with an 83% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Camilo Ugo Carabelli at roughly even odds.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $32K lifetime.
  • They have a strong record at similar prices, winning often despite an average entry around 46¢.
  • Buying at 50¢ implies they see Camilo Ugo Carabelli as mispriced in a near-even match.

$1,295 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 83%

New profitable tennis whale

A 1.5-day-old repeat whale with perfect early results and $122k profit is buying Camilo Ugo Carabelli for $5k at 49¢.

  • This new wallet is already up $122k and has won all 6 resolved bets.
  • It has been flagged 31 times for large bets, totaling about $473k in notable activity.
  • Buying Camilo at 49¢ implies the bettor sees value in a near coin-flip match.

$5,000 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 100%

81% winning sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with an 81% win rate and $249k lifetime profit is buying Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 49¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $249k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 63 sports events with the same 81% hit rate.
  • Entry at 49¢ implies they see Carabelli as better than a coin flip.

$2,282 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5c92...4e7c Miomir Kecmanovic, $15,168 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x8b52...568e Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $10,386 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xcd65...ee96 Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $10,125 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xa9c4...7433 Miomir Kecmanovic, $10,038 (79% win rate)
  5. 0x7ce9...61e5 Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $6,465 (83% win rate)
  6. 0x8f04...7994 Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $6,432 (7% win rate)
  7. 0xe9d3...079f Miomir Kecmanovic, $5,693 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x84ad...bfb7 Miomir Kecmanovic, $4,718 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xae30...079e Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $4,627 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x8a3a...eb9a Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $4,514 (100% win rate)

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Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic

6dValencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic$15,047 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
4¢
Miomir Kecmanovic
96¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Valencia, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Miomir Kecmanovic
100¢
77¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic

32m ago

$3,000 on Miomir Kecmanovic at 85¢

85¢96¢11¢

Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic

51m ago

$3,470 on Miomir Kecmanovic at 61¢

61¢96¢35¢

Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic

1h ago

$1,295 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 50¢

50¢4¢46¢

Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic

1h ago

$5,000 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 49¢

49¢4¢45¢

Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic

2h ago

$2,282 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 49¢

49¢4¢45¢

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