Part of: Valencia: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Valencia: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Miomir Kecmanovic
This Polymarket covers the Valencia tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Miomir Kecmanovic, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by May 20, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $4,952 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this matchup.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Valencia, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,319.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
87% win-rate tennis sharp
Surface because a highly proven serial sports bettor with an 87% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Kecmanovic despite the favorite price.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades, with 538 wins across 621 markets.
- They have traded 435 events and over $7.5M in volume, suggesting a serious repeat sports bettor.
- The buy is on Kecmanovic at 88¢, implying confidence even at heavy-favorite odds.
$1,415 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 87%
82% winner backing favorite
Despite a weak detection score, this is a profitable 82% winner adding nearly $5k on Kecmanovic, making the wallet track record the main signal.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $29.9k lifetime.
- They put $4.95k on Miomir Kecmanovic at 83¢, a meaningful tennis bet from a proven wallet.
- The entry is slightly above the current 80¢ price, so the market now offers a cheaper copy point than their fill.
$4,952 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable tennis sharp
Sharp sports wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and nearly $30k profit added about $11k on Kecmanovic despite only a weak new-wallet signal.
- This bettor has won 82% of resolved bets and is up about $29.9k lifetime.
- They put nearly $11k on Miomir Kecmanovic, adding at 79¢ and 83¢ in a liquid tennis market.
- The first buy is already marked up to 82¢, showing immediate market support for the position.
$10,952 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable tennis sharp
Surface despite the low composite score because this is a profitable sharp wallet with an 82% record making a $6k bet that dominated recent volume.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $29.9k lifetime.
- The $6k buy is large for this market, equal to about 61% of recent 24h volume.
- They are backing the 78–79¢ favorite, suggesting a high-conviction tennis position rather than a long-shot punt.
$6,000 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x2dc8...47d0 — Miomir Kecmanovic, $22,269
- 0xfe78...0319 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $12,789 (73% win rate)
- 0x5912...6f45 — Miomir Kecmanovic, $7,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $4,412 (55% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $4,009 (50% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $3,254 (50% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Miomir Kecmanovic, $2,895 (55% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Miomir Kecmanovic, $1,951 (55% win rate)
- 0xff81...44c9 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $1,745 (48% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $1,707 (71% win rate)
