Part of: Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergs
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergs
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,816.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
New wallet fades favorite
A brand-new wallet made a repeat large bet against Zizou Bergs while the match market moved rapidly, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record.
- A 1-hour-old wallet has already placed $5.5K in flagged bets, showing unusually large early conviction.
- This trade effectively backs Roberto Bautista Agut at 17¢ against the 84¢ favorite.
- The market moved 21 percentage points in under 4 minutes, so this appears tied to fast-moving match information.
$3,611 on Roberto Bautista Agut | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettor flips sides
Sharp 80% lifetime tennis bettor with strong cross-market history flipped into Zizou Bergs with a $5k buy that coincided with a 23.6-point price move.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $125k lifetime.
- They have traded 101 related sports events with an 80% win rate across $1.27M in activity.
- They closed the other side and bought $5k of Zizou Bergs at 61¢ as the price jumped 23.6 points.
$5,000 on Zizou Bergs | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surfaced because a proven serial cross-market sports bettor with a 79% win rate and $121k lifetime profit bought $3k of Roberto Bautista Agut.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $121k lifetime.
- They have traded across 100 events with over $1.2M in cross-market volume.
- A $3,000 buy at 71¢ shows fresh conviction on Bautista Agut.
$3,000 on Roberto Bautista Agut | Wallet win rate: 80%
72% serial cross-market winner
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% record and $329k lifetime profit is buying Zizou Bergs despite recent downward price pressure.
- This bettor has won 72% of 658 resolved bets and is up about $329k lifetime.
- They are a serious repeat trader, active across 407 events with $1.7M in tracked cross-market volume.
- They bought Zizou Bergs at 55¢ after an 18-point price drop, suggesting they see value against the move.
$1,395 on Zizou Bergs | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surfaceable because a highly profitable, extremely active sports bettor is part of a 3-wallet one-sided Bergs buy cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against their entries.
- One bettor in this cluster has won 72% of 658 resolved bets and is up about $330K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $7.8K, suggesting shared conviction on Bergs.
- The entries were mostly at 72–73¢, while Bergs is now around 48¢, so the market is offering a much cheaper follow-on price.
$7,811 on Zizou Bergs
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 36928659, $15,075 (63% win rate)
- 0x5732...9030 — Outcome 36928659, $2,968 (80% win rate)
- 0x16db...8d0f — Outcome 36928659, $2,516 (88% win rate)
- 0x6715...5085 — Outcome 36928659, $2,452 (100% win rate)
- 0x55f0...4e2c — Outcome 36928659, $1,963
- 0x26e7...cc6c — Outcome 36928659, $1,210 (73% win rate)
- 0xa664...f849 — Outcome 36928659, $1,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 36928659, $530 (78% win rate)
- 0x5188...c804 — Outcome 36928659, $400 (82% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 36928659, $365 (82% win rate)
Related Theses
Bitcoin stays below 70K
Covers 5 related markets
