Part of: Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergs
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergs
This prediction market covers the Valencia tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Zizou Bergs, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 21, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $3,611 in smart money across 1 signal.
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Zizou Bergs in the Valencia, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Bautista Agut' if Roberto Bautista Agut advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Roberto Bautista Agut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,816.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
New wallet fades favorite
A brand-new wallet made a repeat large bet against Zizou Bergs while the match market moved rapidly, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record.
- A 1-hour-old wallet has already placed $5.5K in flagged bets, showing unusually large early conviction.
- This trade effectively backs Roberto Bautista Agut at 17¢ against the 84¢ favorite.
- The market moved 21 percentage points in under 4 minutes, so this appears tied to fast-moving match information.
$3,611 on Roberto Bautista Agut | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettor flips sides
Sharp 80% lifetime tennis bettor with strong cross-market history flipped into Zizou Bergs with a $5k buy that coincided with a 23.6-point price move.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $125k lifetime.
- They have traded 101 related sports events with an 80% win rate across $1.27M in activity.
- They closed the other side and bought $5k of Zizou Bergs at 61¢ as the price jumped 23.6 points.
$5,000 on Zizou Bergs | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surfaced because a proven serial cross-market sports bettor with a 79% win rate and $121k lifetime profit bought $3k of Roberto Bautista Agut.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $121k lifetime.
- They have traded across 100 events with over $1.2M in cross-market volume.
- A $3,000 buy at 71¢ shows fresh conviction on Bautista Agut.
$3,000 on Roberto Bautista Agut | Wallet win rate: 80%
72% serial cross-market winner
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% record and $329k lifetime profit is buying Zizou Bergs despite recent downward price pressure.
- This bettor has won 72% of 658 resolved bets and is up about $329k lifetime.
- They are a serious repeat trader, active across 407 events with $1.7M in tracked cross-market volume.
- They bought Zizou Bergs at 55¢ after an 18-point price drop, suggesting they see value against the move.
$1,395 on Zizou Bergs | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surfaceable because a highly profitable, extremely active sports bettor is part of a 3-wallet one-sided Bergs buy cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against their entries.
- One bettor in this cluster has won 72% of 658 resolved bets and is up about $330K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $7.8K, suggesting shared conviction on Bergs.
- The entries were mostly at 72–73¢, while Bergs is now around 48¢, so the market is offering a much cheaper follow-on price.
$7,811 on Zizou Bergs
Top Holders
- 0x13f0...a50f — Zizou Bergs, $16,070 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Roberto Bautista Agut, $15,075 (73% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Zizou Bergs, $13,233
- 0x5268...135d — Roberto Bautista Agut, $7,877 (52% win rate)
- 0x5ba6...0f07 — Zizou Bergs, $7,000 (38% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Roberto Bautista Agut, $5,616 (55% win rate)
- 0xb595...5922 — Zizou Bergs, $5,277 (99% win rate)
- 0x710c...78ea — Zizou Bergs, $4,602 (91% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Roberto Bautista Agut, $4,011 (50% win rate)
- 0x5732...9030 — Roberto Bautista Agut, $2,968 (73% win rate)
