Part of: Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta
This prediction market covers the Valencia tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Pablo Carreno Busta, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 20, 2026; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,200 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Valencia, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,960.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
82% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports wallet with an 82% win rate across 481 resolved positions is buying Pablo Carreno Busta at 52¢, making the trader track record the main signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades across 481 positions and is up about $14k lifetime.
- They are buying Pablo Carreno Busta at 52¢, implying they see value in a near coin-flip match.
- The wallet has traded both sides before, but this is a fresh buy after closing prior positions.
$1,200 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 82%
82% tennis sharp
Surfaced because a highly proven wallet with 82% wins over 481 resolved positions bought Pablo Carreno Busta despite the market now pricing him lower.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved positions across 481 trades and is up $14.4K lifetime.
- They bought Pablo Carreno Busta at 59¢, taking the underdog side versus the current 42% market price.
- The wallet has a strong history of beating implied odds, with an average win price near 51¢.
$1,500 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 82%
92% win-rate sharp
Sharp tennis bettor with a 92% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Pablo Carreno Busta despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $37,629 lifetime.
- Their track record is based on 217 resolved positions, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- Entry at 42¢ implies they saw Pablo Carreno Busta as a strong underdog value, though the market is now 36¢.
$1,260 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Pablo Carreno Busta, $5,992
- 0xdcbf...d37f — Pablo Carreno Busta, $5,610 (45% win rate)
- 0x6715...5085 — Pablo Carreno Busta, $4,566
- 0x2ca1...ddcd — Sebastian Baez, $4,000 (40% win rate)
- 0xb595...5922 — Pablo Carreno Busta, $3,613 (99% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Sebastian Baez, $3,328 (50% win rate)
- 0x710c...78ea — Sebastian Baez, $3,299 (91% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Sebastian Baez, $3,120 (68% win rate)
- 0x99d7...6435 — Pablo Carreno Busta, $3,000 (92% win rate)
- 0x1e33...afb3 — Sebastian Baez, $2,437 (54% win rate)
