Part of: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
This prediction market covers the Valorant best-of-three match between 100 Thieves and LOUD in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs Lower Bracket Round 1, scheduled for May 16 at 8:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, tie, or major delay rules applying if no winner is determined within 7 days. PolySpotter currently tracks $4,674 in smart money and 1 signal on this market, including activity from profitable esports bettors.
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between 100 Thieves and LOUD in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,074.
Categories: Esports, Valorant, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite 80% winner on esports
Proven sharp esports bettor with an 80% long-run win rate and $3.56M profit bought 100 Thieves at 56¢, adding meaningful size in a moderately quiet market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.56M lifetime.
- They have traded across 222 events with $4.0M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- The $4.7K buy was large relative to recent activity, at 56¢ on 100 Thieves.
$4,674 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial bettor is making an $8.4k 100 Thieves buy that exceeds the market's entire 24h volume.
- This bettor is up $272k lifetime across 261 resolved trades.
- They have traded 111 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports betting process.
- The $8.4k buy is about 148% of this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction on 100 Thieves.
$8,400 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0xba38...e406 — LOUD, $17,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — 100 Thieves, $15,000 (65% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — 100 Thieves, $8,346 (80% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — LOUD, $5,198 (68% win rate)
- 0x3c3f...75cf — 100 Thieves, $1,760 (77% win rate)
- 0x48b8...4b69 — 100 Thieves, $1,520 (63% win rate)
- 0x9e15...7531 — 100 Thieves, $1,000
- 0x2761...4d95 — LOUD, $979 (41% win rate)
- 0x7138...8c89 — LOUD, $943
- 0xc34b...9296 — LOUD, $889
