Part of: Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2

Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,905.

Categories: Esports, Valorant, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

85% winner contrarian bet

A proven esports bettor with an 85% win rate and $52k lifetime profit bought Natus Vincere at 50¢, though the market has since moved sharply against them.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $52,049 lifetime.
They bought Natus Vincere at 50¢ before the market collapsed to 1¢.
The strong track record makes the bet worth studying, but the current price move is a major warning sign.

$1,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 86%

Four-wallet esports cluster

Four wallets bought $8.1k of Fnatic in the same direction on a previously quiet esports market, though the price has moved sharply against the early entries.

Four wallets all backed Fnatic, totaling $8.1k in concentrated same-side buying.
The bets were huge versus prior activity, with several trades worth 3x-10x the market’s earlier 24h volume.
Fnatic has since fallen to about 46%, so later entry is far cheaper than the cluster’s biggest 70%-80% buys.

$8,055 on Fnatic

Thin-market esports whale

A profitable high-volume wallet placed a bet over 6x the market's entire 24h volume on a very thin Valorant map market.

This bettor put $1.85K on Natus Vincere in a market with only $296 of 24h volume.
The trade was about 625% of the day’s volume, showing unusually strong conviction for this quiet market.
The wallet has traded heavily before and is up about $200K lifetime, though its overall win rate is only 51%.

$1,850 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 51%

Top Holders

0x1b59...0ba0 — Outcome 99608088, $2,680 (45% win rate)
0x815f...1eef — Outcome 99608088, $2,178 (86% win rate)
0x4337...8882 — Outcome 99608088, $2,070 (75% win rate)
0xd525...1815 — Outcome 99608088, $2,000 (86% win rate)
0x19b6...ad8e — Outcome 99608088, $1,878 (83% win rate)
0x196b...4151 — Outcome 99608088, $875
0xf59e...f0bf — Outcome 99608088, $534 (76% win rate)
0xd8f8...891c — Outcome 99608088, $444 (31% win rate)
0x5b24...ba5c — Outcome 99608088, $427
0xda77...683f — Outcome 99608088, $367

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dodgers win low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

1hValorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2$10,905 tracked3 signalsEsportsValorantGamesSports

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2, initially scheduled for May 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Map 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.