What is the G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves prediction market?

It is a Valorant prediction market for the winner of Map 2 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega match between G2 Esports and 100 Thieves.

What outcomes can this Valorant market resolve to?

The market resolves to G2 Esports if G2 wins Map 2, or to 100 Thieves if 100 Thieves wins Map 2.

What are smart-money bettors predicting?

The tracked signals are mixed. Multiple bettors, including a 95% bettor and experienced esports traders, backed 100 Thieves, while profitable bettors backed G2 Esports.

When does the G2 vs 100 Thieves Map 2 market resolve?

The market resolves after Map 2 is completed and a winner is determined, with the listed resolution date scheduled for July 19, 2026.

What happens if the match is not completed?

If the match begins but is not completed, the market still resolves based on Map 2 if Map 2 has concluded and a winner is determined.

Part of: Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

This Polymarket market tracks the Valorant VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega Map 2 winner between G2 Esports and 100 Thieves. Smart-money activity is mixed: several bettors back 100 Thieves, while profitable bettors have supported G2; $2,373 in smart money has been tracked across two signals. The market resolves when Map 2 is completed, with resolution scheduled by July 19, 2026.

This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Esports and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 18 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Map 2 against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 2 against G2 Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $214,715.

Categories: Esports, Valorant, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial esports bettor backs 100 Thieves

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 70% win rate bought $1,323 of 100 Thieves amid a sharp volume and price surge.

This bettor has won 70% of 4,553 resolved trades and is up $322,028 lifetime.
They placed a fresh $1,323 bet on 100 Thieves at 75¢, while the price has risen to 77%.
The trade coincided with a 12.6x volume spike and a 19-point move toward 100 Thieves.

$1,323 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 70%

Experienced trader backs 100 Thieves

A highly experienced esports-market trader switched from G2 to 100 Thieves as coordinated volume drove the favorite up, though the trader's historical edge is moderate rather than exceptional.

This bettor has resolved 5,849 markets, a 61% win rate, and $464,658 in lifetime profit.
The trader closed a G2 position and newly bought $1,050 of 100 Thieves at 75%, aligning with a 19-point price rise.
A 12.6x volume spike accompanied the move, adding support to the directional signal despite the market's already-high liquidity.

$1,050 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable bettors back G2

Three wallets concentrated over $6.3K on G2, including two highly profitable bettors with substantial track records, although two were adding to existing positions that are now deeply underwater.

Two participating bettors have won 73% and 66% of 1,013 resolved trades, with combined profits exceeding $2.1M.
Three wallets bought $6,383 of G2 at 56–60¢ despite the market later falling to 23%, creating a notable contrarian position.
Two wallets were adding to existing G2 positions, so this is stronger evidence of conviction but not a fresh, untested call from every participant.

$6,383 on G2 Esports

95% bettor backs 100 Thieves

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate and 39-point edge concentrated $85.8K on 100 Thieves amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades—76 of 80—with a $1.47M profit and a 39-point edge over implied odds.
The wallet deployed $85,832 across 35 trades, heavily concentrating on 100 Thieves during a 60x–69x volume surge.
The latest substantial entry was at 50¢, while the market now prices 100 Thieves at 43%, creating a potentially favorable entry if the thesis holds.

$120,126 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% bettor backs 100 Thieves

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate and 39-point edge concentrated $85.8K on 100 Thieves amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades—76 of 80—with a $1.47M profit and a 39-point edge over implied odds.
The wallet deployed $85,832 across 35 trades, heavily concentrating on 100 Thieves during a 60x–69x volume surge.
The latest substantial entry was at 50¢, while the market now prices 100 Thieves at 43%, creating a potentially favorable entry if the thesis holds.

$85,832 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 95%