Part of: Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Leviatán Esports and NRG in the Valorant Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 lower bracket semifinal. It resolves to Leviatán Esports if Leviatán win Map 1, or NRG if NRG win Map 1, with resolution expected by May 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,478 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including movement from a profitable wallet in a thin market.
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between Leviatán Esports and NRG in the Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2, initially scheduled for May 30 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports" if Leviatán Esports win Map 1 against NRG. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 1 against Leviatán Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,752.
Categories: Esports, Valorant, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
85% winner fading favorite
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and +$34.6k lifetime P&L is effectively buying NRG against Leviatán in a wide-spread esports market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $34.6k lifetime.
- Selling Leviatán at 57¢ is effectively a buy on NRG at 43¢.
- The market has a very wide 24¢ spread, so a sharp bettor may be exploiting mispricing.
$1,478 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable whale moved thin book
A highly active, profitable wallet bought NRG heavily in a quiet esports market and immediately moved the price from 67¢ to 78¢.
- This bettor is up about $190k lifetime across more than 30k resolved bets.
- They bought $2.6k of NRG when the market had almost no recent volume, a very large bet for the book.
- NRG jumped from 67¢ to 78¢ after the trade, showing the market followed their move.
$2,563 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 51%
Profitable wallet in thin market
A profitable wallet made a $2.7k NRG bet that dwarfs activity in an extremely quiet Valorant market.
- This wallet is up $26k lifetime and made a $2.7k bet on a market with only $72 of 24h volume.
- The bet was more than 37x the market’s recent volume, suggesting unusually strong conviction in a quiet book.
- They bought NRG at 58¢, while the market is now around 52¢.
$2,711 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x1c93...33d5 — Leviatán Esports, $20,000 (83% win rate)
- 0xfa39...bb64 — NRG, $17,983 (54% win rate)
- 0x543b...6c81 — NRG, $11,862
- 0xf070...ac55 — Leviatán Esports, $6,666 (92% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Leviatán Esports, $6,414 (74% win rate)
- 0x8548...e4c1 — NRG, $6,216
- 0x6fc4...c89d — NRG, $3,472 (100% win rate)
- 0x13f0...a50f — NRG, $3,375 (100% win rate)
- 0x2775...3652 — Leviatán Esports, $2,542 (50% win rate)
- 0x749f...6be1 — Leviatán Esports, $2,016
Related Theses
Dodgers win low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
