Part of: Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,790.

Categories: Esports, Valorant, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large long-term record bought NRG, but the price has moved sharply against the entry since the trade.

This bettor has won 70% of 138 resolved bets and is up about $333K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 58 events and $279K of tracked positioning.
The NRG entry was at 60¢, but the market has since fallen to 32¢, so the signal is weaker than their track record.

$1,054 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 70% record and $333k profit bought 100 Thieves, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has won 70% of 138 resolved bets and is up $333k lifetime.
They have traded across 57 events and 81 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market betting process.
The position is down from 51¢ to 27¢, so the market is offering a much cheaper entry than the trader paid.

$1,021 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable esports cross-market sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate and $1.2M lifetime profit bought NRG in a meaningful size on a relatively quiet Valorant map market.

This bettor has won 70% of 771 resolved bets and is up $1.2M lifetime.
They have traded across 314 events with $2.27M in flagged cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
The $3.7K NRG buy was larger than the market’s recent quiet-volume baseline and came at 75¢.

$3,748 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Experienced profitable cross-market bettor took a meaningful 100 Thieves position in a relatively quiet esports map market, though price has since moved against the entry.

This bettor has 1,615 resolved trades, wins 64% of them, and is up about $150K lifetime.
They have traded across 221 events and $1.35M, suggesting an established cross-market strategy.
The bet was large for the market at the time, equal to about 70% of recent 24h volume.

$1,654 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable thin-market bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor put $4.3k on 100 Thieves in a very thin esports market, with the buy size exceeding recent market volume.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,615 resolved bets and $149,736 in lifetime profit.
They put $4.3k on 100 Thieves in a market with only $2.4k traded in the last 24 hours.
Their buys were large enough to exceed a full day of market volume, suggesting strong conviction.

$4,314 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

0x12f0...6e95 — Outcome 13783850, $1,074 (95% win rate)
0x0181...9b5f — Outcome 13783850, $300
0xbf99...9840 — Outcome 13783850, $250
0xe592...74ad — Outcome 13783850, $250
0x5489...1633 — Outcome 13783850, $227
0x8b55...d74b — Outcome 13783850, $200
0xffd8...1faa — Outcome 13783850, $127
0xc4fe...601f — Outcome 13783850, $60
0x0f48...0b0d — Outcome 13783850, $45
0x08f6...cd51 — Outcome 13783850, $37

Related Theses

Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

ResolvedValorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs$11,790 tracked5 signalsEsportsValorantGamesSports

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between NRG and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 22 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 2 against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 2 against NRG. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.