Part of: Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the winner of Map 2 between NRG and 100 Thieves in the Valorant VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs lower bracket semifinal. PolySpotter tracks $1,054 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market, with resolution scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 04:00 UTC based on the official Map 2 result.
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between NRG and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 22 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 2 against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 2 against NRG. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,790.
Categories: Esports, Valorant, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large long-term record bought NRG, but the price has moved sharply against the entry since the trade.
- This bettor has won 70% of 138 resolved bets and is up about $333K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 58 events and $279K of tracked positioning.
- The NRG entry was at 60¢, but the market has since fallen to 32¢, so the signal is weaker than their track record.
$1,054 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 70% record and $333k profit bought 100 Thieves, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 70% of 138 resolved bets and is up $333k lifetime.
- They have traded across 57 events and 81 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market betting process.
- The position is down from 51¢ to 27¢, so the market is offering a much cheaper entry than the trader paid.
$1,021 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable esports cross-market sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate and $1.2M lifetime profit bought NRG in a meaningful size on a relatively quiet Valorant map market.
- This bettor has won 70% of 771 resolved bets and is up $1.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 314 events with $2.27M in flagged cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- The $3.7K NRG buy was larger than the market’s recent quiet-volume baseline and came at 75¢.
$3,748 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Experienced profitable cross-market bettor took a meaningful 100 Thieves position in a relatively quiet esports map market, though price has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has 1,615 resolved trades, wins 64% of them, and is up about $150K lifetime.
- They have traded across 221 events and $1.35M, suggesting an established cross-market strategy.
- The bet was large for the market at the time, equal to about 70% of recent 24h volume.
$1,654 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable thin-market bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor put $4.3k on 100 Thieves in a very thin esports market, with the buy size exceeding recent market volume.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,615 resolved bets and $149,736 in lifetime profit.
- They put $4.3k on 100 Thieves in a market with only $2.4k traded in the last 24 hours.
- Their buys were large enough to exceed a full day of market volume, suggesting strong conviction.
$4,314 on 100 Thieves | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0xafd4...7e61 — 100 Thieves, $13,748 (64% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — NRG, $13,549 (70% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — 100 Thieves, $8,413 (51% win rate)
- 0x9ad6...4251 — NRG, $2,860
- 0x3471...f17e — NRG, $2,533 (50% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — NRG, $2,031 (68% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — NRG, $1,683
- 0x9d94...017d — 100 Thieves, $1,403
- 0x880b...c98b — NRG, $1,392 (70% win rate)
- 0x12f0...6e95 — 100 Thieves, $1,074
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