Part of: Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,509.

Categories: Esports, Valorant, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into NRG

A proven esports bettor with a 75% win rate and $123K profit is adding substantially to an NRG position despite the market now pricing NRG at 62%.

This bettor has won 75% of 281 resolved trades and earned $123,210 in profit.
The $6,781 purchase adds to an existing $8,965 NRG position, showing continued conviction in the underdog-adjusted price.
NRG is currently priced at 62%, below the bettor’s 76¢ entry, so the position has moved against them and warrants caution.

$6,781 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 76%

Three sharp bettors scaling into NRG

Three historically profitable bettors concentrated $10.1K into NRG during a 72x volume spike, with two wallets adding to existing NRG positions.

Three wallets with 75%, 75%, and 82% win rates bought NRG, committing $10,131 in total.
The trades arrived during a 72x spike over the historical volume baseline, creating a strong coordinated signal.
Two wallets increased existing NRG positions, including one bettor up $123,210 across 281 resolved markets.

$10,131 on NRG

Proven sharp backs NRG

A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is buying NRG at 75%.

This bettor wins 82% of 1,695 resolved bets and is up $4.87 million lifetime.
The $3,000 NRG purchase comes from a serial trader active across 1,062 events and 1,660 markets.
Buying at 75¢ leaves meaningful upside if NRG's true chance exceeds the market's implied 75%.

$3,000 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor adds to NRG

A proven esports bettor with an 86% win rate and substantial edge is adding $2,598 to an existing NRG position at 75%.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $22,109 lifetime.
They have identified a strong edge relative to their 57% average winning entry price across 44 bets.
The $2,598 purchase adds to an existing NRG position, signaling continued conviction despite NRG trading near 74%.

$2,598 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 89%

Serial winner scaling into NRG

A serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate is adding $3,000 to an existing NRG position in a relatively thin market.

This bettor has won 78% of 72 resolved trades and is up $25,172 lifetime.
The $3,000 purchase represents 59% of the market’s 24-hour volume and adds to an existing NRG position.
NRG was bought at 78¢, matching the market price but showing strong conviction in a thinly traded match market.

$3,000 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0x0a53...077b — Outcome 65096949, $82,205 (76% win rate)
0x2f1a...6529 — Outcome 65096949, $24,967 (75% win rate)
0x4980...5709 — Outcome 65096949, $13,499 (94% win rate)
0x8660...93ed — Outcome 65096949, $13,174 (94% win rate)
0x8c0b...7aa5 — Outcome 65096949, $7,213 (60% win rate)
0x16bc...deca — Outcome 65096949, $7,052 (60% win rate)
0x880b...c98b — Outcome 65096949, $5,266 (74% win rate)
0x182d...73e9 — Outcome 65096949, $4,000 (42% win rate)
0x03f4...7e44 — Outcome 65096949, $2,900 (70% win rate)
0x9d72...02d0 — Outcome 65096949, $2,500

Related Theses

Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

ResolvedValorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs$25,509 tracked5 signalsEsportsValorantGamesSports

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between NRG and LOUD in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against NRG. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “NRG”

79¢

76¢

72¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction