Part of: Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidel
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidel
This prediction market covers the Warsaw tennis match between Gabriela Knutson and Ella Seidel, scheduled for August 5, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with a resolution deadline of August 12, 2026; current odds are not provided in the market metadata. PolySpotter tracks $43,204 in smart money across one signal, including activity backing both Knutson and Seidel.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $72,004.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
Linked wallets nailed Gabriela Knutson
Four linked wallets concentrated $43,204 on Gabriela Knutson as the market surged 40 percentage points to a resolved 100%, indicating coordinated and ultimately successful conviction.
- Four wallets tied to two funders concentrated $43,204 on Gabriela Knutson.
- The position drove a 40-point price increase, while opposing Ella Seidel flow totaled only $5,400.
- One participating bettor wins 77% of 174 resolved trades and is up $471,000 lifetime.
$43,204 on Gabriela Knutson
99% winner backs the underdog
A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate made a contrarian $1,000 underdog bet amid an extreme volume spike, making the position worth studying despite the subsequent price decline.
- This bettor has won 99% of 1,127 resolved trades and earned about $815,000 in profit.
- They placed $1,000 on Ella Seidel at 32¢, far above the current 16¢ market price.
- Trading volume was 614 times its recent average, suggesting notable activity around the match.
$1,000 on Ella Seidel | Wallet win rate: 99%
Serial 76% winner adding to Knutson
A proven serial cross-market trader with a 76% win rate is adding $25,000 to an existing Gabriela Knutson position amid a 613x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 76% of 167 resolved trades and earned $412,488 in profit.
- They added $25,000 to Gabriela Knutson, increasing an already substantial position on the heavy favorite.
- Trading activity surged to 613 times the recent average, providing strong confirmation of the move.
$25,000 on Gabriela Knutson | Wallet win rate: 78%
Serial 74% winner on Ella
A serial trader with a 74% win rate and $65,378 profit made a substantial Ella Seidel buy during an extreme volume spike, though the position is now underwater.
- This bettor has won 74% of 66 resolved trades and is up $65,378 overall.
- The $2,800 purchase occurred during a 1,948x volume spike, adding to a $5,000 Ella position.
- Ella has since fallen from 56¢ to 34¢, so this is a high-conviction but currently losing position rather than a clean winning signal.
$2,800 on Ella Seidel | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 30823725, $37,662 (63% win rate)
- 0xa013...2f8c — Outcome 30823725, $4,706
- 0xd9dd...b525 — Outcome 30823725, $4,574 (44% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 30823725, $3,125 (99% win rate)
- 0xc13f...c336 — Outcome 30823725, $2,000 (45% win rate)
- 0xaa65...b0bb — Outcome 30823725, $890 (94% win rate)
- 0x50b9...4467 — Outcome 30823725, $800 (60% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 30823725, $526 (51% win rate)
- 0x9086...4d46 — Outcome 30823725, $462
- 0xb943...375b — Outcome 30823725, $377
Related Theses
Argentina or France win
Covers 3 related markets
Alexandrova beats Ann Li
Covers 1 related market
Yilmaz beats Matusevich in Istanbul
Covers 1 related market
Elias Ymer beats Visker
Covers 1 related market
Munar beats Fearnley at Wimbledon
Covers 1 related market
Zhang beats Bucsa
Covers 1 related market
Bucsa beats Zhang in Strasbourg
Covers 1 related market
Buse beats Giron
Covers 1 related market
Acosta beats Holmgren
Covers 1 related market
Fever beat the Sparks
Covers 1 related market
