Part of: Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
This Polymarket prediction market covers the MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Athletics scheduled for July 18 at 10:05 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team after the game, while a cancellation without a makeup game or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution. Smart-money activity includes signals from six wallets, with recent flows involving both the Nationals and Athletics.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Athletics, scheduled for July 18 at 10:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,087.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
New whale scaling into Nationals
A three-day-old wallet is adding $4.3K to an existing $80.8K Nationals position amid a 40x pre-event volume spike, signaling notable concentrated conviction despite no proven track record.
- This three-day-old wallet has committed roughly $85,000 to Washington, including a fresh $4,332 add-on.
- The buying coincided with a 40.3x spike in historical trading activity before the game.
- The wallet has no resolved-bet history, so the signal is concentrated conviction rather than proven bettor performance.
$4,332 on Washington Nationals
Three-wallet Athletics surge
Three wallets committed $34,305 to Athletics amid a 40x volume spike, including a highly profitable serial trader and sizable additions to existing positions.
- Three wallets bought $34,305 of Athletics, creating a concentrated one-sided signal before the game.
- The flow arrived during a 40x historical volume spike, with Athletics moving from 48% to 52%.
- One participating bettor has a 63% win rate and $22.9M lifetime profit across 25,920 resolved bets.
$37,005 on Athletics
91% winner in 6-wallet push
Strong copy-trade candidate: a 91% lifetime winner bought Nationals at 48¢ alongside heavy same-direction flow from six wallets.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $209K lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the Nationals the same way, totaling about $75K in the scan window.
- Entry at 48¢ has already moved to 52¢, showing early confirmation from the market.
$1,150 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp bettor joins 6-wallet Nationals flow
A highly profitable 84% win-rate wallet exited Athletics while a 6-wallet, $74.9k one-sided flow is backing Washington Nationals.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $223k lifetime.
- Six wallets have pushed the same way, totaling $74.9k on Washington Nationals.
- They sold out of an Athletics position at 52¢, effectively taking the Nationals side at 48¢.
$2,600 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x1d1a...0df6 — Washington Nationals, $111,996 (54% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Washington Nationals, $107,032 (47% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Athletics, $82,079 (63% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Washington Nationals, $79,178 (46% win rate)
- 0xa244...b9f8 — Washington Nationals, $76,137
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Athletics, $67,591 (63% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Athletics, $64,537 (53% win rate)
- 0xe015...6ffd — Washington Nationals, $50,000 (89% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Washington Nationals, $38,909 (68% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Athletics, $28,988 (88% win rate)
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