Part of: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
This prediction market covers the May 12 MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $10,000 in smart money and 1 signal, with recent sharp activity showing a 92% win-rate MLB bettor buying the Reds. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion; if canceled with no makeup or ending in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for May 12 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,000.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
92% winner buying Reds
Despite only a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the bettor has an exceptional 92% record and large lifetime profit while buying $10k of Cincinnati.
- This bettor wins 92% of their resolved bets and is up $821k lifetime.
- They put $10k on Cincinnati at 58¢, a meaningful position in a market with about $40k daily volume.
- Their average winning entry is 52¢, so this is in the same mid-priced range where they have historically done well.
$10,000 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate MLB sharp
Surface despite the weak alert score because this is a proven sharp bettor with a 92% record and large lifetime profit making a $10k MLB bet.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $821k lifetime.
- They put $10k on Cincinnati, nearly 1.8x this market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 57¢ implies they see the Reds as meaningfully underpriced.
$10,000 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xbd14...d62a — Cincinnati Reds, $34,679 (92% win rate)
- 0xfa5f...6bfe — Washington Nationals, $6,455 (51% win rate)
- 0x3625...1187 — Washington Nationals, $4,545 (97% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Washington Nationals, $3,661
- 0x4379...2e16 — Washington Nationals, $3,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x1237...06af — Washington Nationals, $2,280
- 0x5268...135d — Washington Nationals, $2,085 (52% win rate)
- 0x0cef...fa91 — Washington Nationals, $2,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x7bec...07a8 — Cincinnati Reds, $1,500 (62% win rate)
- 0xa969...1a84 — Washington Nationals, $1,492 (54% win rate)
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