Part of: Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

This prediction market covers the MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 9 at 4:10 PM ET. Traders are pricing which team will win, with PolySpotter tracking $52,439 in smart money and 1 recent signal; the market resolves to the winning team once the game is completed, with special 50-50 rules for cancellation or a tie.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 9 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $52,439.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Linked whale faded by market

A linked 4-wallet cluster put $52k on Miami in an MLB market, but the trade has moved sharply against them from ~60¢ to 28¢, so this is notable flow with caution rather than a clean sharp-follow signal.

  • Four linked wallets backed Miami with $52k, suggesting one high-conviction actor split across accounts.
  • One wallet in the cluster is up $6.2M lifetime, though the other wallets have weaker records.
  • The market moved hard against them: Miami was bought mostly at 60¢ and is now around 28¢.

$52,439 on Miami Marlins

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Washington Nationals, $88,286 (73% win rate)
  2. 0x03e8...1697 Miami Marlins, $57,216 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xfc25...1f7f Miami Marlins, $36,656 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x4f29...7a7e Washington Nationals, $25,845 (0% win rate)
  5. 0xd48a...6e90 Washington Nationals, $17,843 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x6815...9edb Miami Marlins, $16,549 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x1117...3532 Miami Marlins, $15,000 (60% win rate)
  8. 0x6f8b...01aa Washington Nationals, $14,542 (38% win rate)
  9. 0xacb2...b989 Washington Nationals, $12,500 (46% win rate)
  10. 0xdcbf...d37f Miami Marlins, $12,359 (44% win rate)

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

6dWashington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins$52,439 tracked1 signalSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Washington Nationals
0¢
Miami Marlins
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 9 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

WSH
7
19-21
Final
MIA
8
18-22
WSH +135MIA -163O/U 8.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
loanDepot park, Miami
Attendance
20,185
Price History — “Miami Marlins
102¢
69¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

5h ago

$52,439 on Miami Marlins at 28¢

28¢100¢72¢