Part of: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,390.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Linked wallets backing Washington surge

Three linked wallets deployed $30,287 on Washington at 50-71%, alongside a 514x volume spike and 38-point price rise, though their historical records do not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • Three linked wallets put $30,287 behind Washington, including two large bettors adding at 63-71%.
  • The market saw a 514x historical volume spike and Washington rose 38 percentage points to 82%.
  • The wallets have substantial lifetime profits, but their win rates are not clearly superior to the prices they typically pay.

$30,287 on Washington Nationals

Large bettor scaling into Nationals

A large Nationals add coincided with a 40-point price surge and an unusually large cross-market volume spike, despite the wallet lacking a clearly sharp track record.

  • The wallet added $6,230 to Nationals at 71¢, alongside $62,712 positioned across four related markets.
  • Nationals odds have surged 40 percentage points to 84%, while market activity reached 687 times its historical average.
  • This is an increased position rather than a fresh bet, and the wallet’s 54% win rate offers limited evidence of a proven edge.

$6,230 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 54%

Bettor ahead of 40-point surge

A $6,198 Nationals buy at 63¢ preceded a 40-point price surge amid a 687.6x historical volume spike, though the trader's long-term record is only moderately strong.

  • A $6,198 buy at 63¢ was followed by the Nationals rising to 84¢.
  • Trading volume spiked 687.6x above its historical average, supporting the significance of the move.
  • This serial trader has a 61% win rate across 17,513 resolved bets and is up $1.55 million overall.

$6,198 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 63%

93% win-rate bettor backs Washington

A highly proven sports bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $15,400 wager on Washington at 44%.

  • This bettor has won 417 of 446 resolved positions, with a $3.5M lifetime profit.
  • The $15,400 Washington wager is a concentrated position from a trader active across 555 events.
  • Washington is available around 42%, below the bettor’s 44% entry price and implying meaningful upside if the edge is real.

$15,400 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 94%

99% win-rate serial bettor

An exceptionally proven bettor with 1,859 resolved positions and a 99% win rate made a fresh $4,275 purchase of the Mets.

  • This bettor wins 99% of trades across 1,859 resolved positions and is up $17.2 million.
  • The wallet made a fresh $4,275 bet on New York at 57¢, showing meaningful conviction despite the near-market price.
  • This is a serial cross-market trader active across 984 events and 1,056 markets.

$4,275 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 63889434, $35,000 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x927c...6633 Outcome 63889434, $22,575 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x7dd2...7f1d Outcome 63889434, $4,880
  4. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 63889434, $4,146
  5. 0x7c12...4b54 Outcome 63889434, $3,646
  6. 0x58b9...ee8b Outcome 63889434, $2,255 (92% win rate)
  7. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 63889434, $1,517 (94% win rate)
  8. 0x0a77...9d74 Outcome 63889434, $1,190
  9. 0xbe6c...a2c3 Outcome 63889434, $682 (91% win rate)
  10. 0xad54...006a Outcome 63889434, $500

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rays win, total not eight

Covers 3 related markets

Cubs dominate a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

High-scoring Giants-Guardians showdown

Covers 3 related markets

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

ResolvedWashington Nationals vs. New York Mets$62,390 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets, scheduled for August 15 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

WSH
4
60-65
Final
NYM
5
55-69
WSH +126NYM -135O/U 7.5
Venue
Citi Field, Queens
Attendance
34,737
Price History — “Washington Nationals
71¢
40¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

26d ago

$30,287 on Washington Nationals at 82¢

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

26d ago

$6,230 on Washington Nationals at 71¢

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

26d ago

$6,198 on Washington Nationals at 63¢

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

27d ago

$15,400 on Washington Nationals at 44¢

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

27d ago

$4,275 on New York Mets at 57¢

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Tigers win a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…
Rays win, total not eight
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …
Cubs dominate a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cu…Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cu…
High-scoring Giants-Guardians showdown
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…San Francisco Giants vs. Cleve…San Francisco Giants vs. Cleve…