Part of: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets, scheduled for August 15 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Washington Nationals and New York Mets combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,292.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Whale scaling into Under

A large bettor with a substantial existing Under position added roughly $22,000 more at 56¢ in a thin, sharply spiking market, though the wallet lacks a strong proven edge.

  • This bettor added about $22,000 to Under at 56¢, on top of a $62,739 existing position.
  • The trades represented an unusually large flow for the detected quiet market and coincided with a 149x volume spike.
  • The wallet is up $2.9M overall, but its 54% win rate does not establish a clear edge over its 59¢ average winning price.

$27,603 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable cluster loading Under

Three profitable, high-volume traders coordinated $24.6K into Under at 52–53¢ during an exceptional pre-event volume spike, with the price already rising to 56¢.

  • Three wallets placed $24,643 on Under at 52–53¢, with Under now priced at 56¢.
  • The trades created a 684x surge over the market’s normal 24-hour activity.
  • The participating wallets have strong long-term results, including one with $37.9M in lifetime profit and a 63% win rate.

$54,689 on Under

93% winner adds to Under

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $26,000 to an existing Under position in a relatively quiet MLB totals market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of 445 resolved trades and is up $3.47 million lifetime.
  • The $26,000 purchase adds to an existing $50,000 Under position, bringing total exposure to $76,000.
  • The trade represents 1,598% of the flagged $1,627 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction in Under 8.5.

$26,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x16bb...8492 — Under, $50,000 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 — Under, $33,731 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x032e...2a9e — Under, $4,991 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x224a...a3d5 — Under, $1,939 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x73e8...cd6f — Under, $1,703 (82% win rate)
  6. 0xb4f9...c9a7 — Under, $1,392 (87% win rate)
  7. 0x50c3...ace1 — Under, $888 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x842a...7422 — Under, $500 (57% win rate)
  9. 0xa3b5...941a — Under, $500 (85% win rate)
  10. 0x7734...017d — Under, $400

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Panthers keep it close

Covers 3 related markets

NATO and Russia avoid clash

Covers 3 related markets

Rays win, total not eight

Covers 3 related markets

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets$108,292 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Over
100¢
Under
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets, scheduled for August 15 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Washington Nationals and New York Mets combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

WSH
4
60-65
Final
NYM
5
55-69
WSH +126NYM -135O/U 7.5Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Citi Field, Queens
Attendance
34,737

Notable Trades

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

2026-08-15 20:28 UTC

$27,603 on Under at 56¢

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

2026-08-15 20:18 UTC

$54,689 on Under at 52¢

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

2026-08-15 13:03 UTC

$26,000 on Under at 52¢

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Tigers win a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…
Panthers keep it close
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Bears (-4.5)Spread: Bears (-2.5)Spread: Bears (-3.5)
NATO and Russia avoid clash
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
NATO x Russia military clash b…NATO x Russia military clash b…NATO x Russia military clash b…
Rays win, total not eight
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …